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Championship
Brighton
U T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Huddersfield
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,5
Scored
0,2
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Championship · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 38%
46%
30%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
46%
44%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brighton 5. · Huddersfield 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 26 17 4 5 +24 55
2 Hull 26 16 5 5 +28 53
3 Burnley 27 13 9 5 +18 48
4 Derby 26 12 10 4 +15 46
5 Brighton 26 12 10 4 +5 46
6 Ipswich 27 12 9 6 +5 45
7 Sheffield Weds 26 12 8 6 +11 44
8 Birmingham 27 12 7 8 +6 43
9 Cardiff 27 10 10 7 +4 40
10 Wolves 28 10 8 10 -1 38
11 Brentford 27 10 6 11 -1 36
12 Nott'm Forest 27 8 11 8 +4 35
13 QPR 28 8 11 9 +0 35
14 Preston 27 8 11 8 +0 35
15 Reading 27 9 7 11 +1 34
16 Huddersfield 27 8 8 11 -1 32
17 Leeds 27 7 11 9 -5 32
18 Blackburn 26 6 11 9 +0 29
19 Fulham 27 6 10 11 -4 28
20 Milton Keynes Dons 27 7 5 15 -16 26
21 Rotherham 27 7 3 17 -15 24
22 Bristol City 27 5 9 13 -22 24
23 Charlton 27 4 8 15 -32 20
24 Bolton 27 2 11 14 -24 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Huddersfield
2′
🟨 Mark Hudson
Beram Kayal 🟨
25′
1–0 B. Zamora
A. Knockaert
30′
Half-time 1–0
A. Crofts 🔁
↦ D. Stephens
46′
46′
🔁 K. Matmour
↦ E. Huws
47′
H. Bunn 1–1
T. Smith
57′
🟨 Joel Lynch
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ B. Zamora
58′
K. LuaLua 🔁
↦ T. Hemed
62′
66′
🟨 Martin Cranie
2–1 J. Wilson
A. Knockaert
66′
73′
🟨 Tommy Smith
83′
🔁 D. Whitehead
↦ J. Davidson
84′
🟨 Tommy Smith
84′
🟥 Tommy Smith
87′
🔁 P. Billing
↦ J. Paterson
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brighton

13 D. Stockdale
33 L. Ridgewell D
2 Bruno Saltor D
5 L. Dunk D
17 C. Goldson D
6 D. Stephens M
7 B. Kayal M
25 B. Zamora F
15 J. Murphy M
10 T. Hemed F
27 A. Knockaert M
Bench (7)
8 A. Crofts
21 J. Wilson
30 K. LuaLua
1 N. Mäenpää
14 Inigo Calderon
19 E. Manu
29 R. Towell

Huddersfield

1 J. Steer G
5 M. Hudson D
14 M. Cranie D
33 J. Lynch D
3 J. Davidson M
2 T. Smith D
8 J. Paterson M
21 N. Wells F
16 E. Huws M
17 H. Bunn M
18 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
10 K. Matmour
4 D. Whitehead
29 P. Billing
13 J. Murphy
15 J. Husband
19 D. Holmes
36 F. Bojaj

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.