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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Heracles

U U T U T

2–1

Full-time

De Graafschap

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 16/18 matches

Win Ø 31%

50%

11%

Points per game

1,7

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 7. · De Graafschap 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	18	14	2	2	+35	44
2	PSV Eindhoven	18	12	5	1	+25	41
3	Feyenoord	18	11	3	4	+17	36
4	Vitesse	18	9	4	5	+20	31
5	Nijmegen	19	9	4	6	+5	31
6	Zwolle	17	8	4	5	+7	28
7	Heracles	16	8	3	5	+3	27
8	Groningen	18	7	6	5	-3	27
9	Utrecht	16	6	5	5	+3	23
10	AZ Alkmaar	18	6	4	8	-4	22
11	Den Haag	18	4	8	6	-2	20
12	Heerenveen	18	5	5	8	-10	20
13	Willem II	18	4	6	8	-2	18
14	Excelsior	18	4	5	9	-13	17
15	Roda	18	3	7	8	-17	16
16	Twente	18	4	4	10	-19	16
17	Cambuur	18	2	7	9	-23	13
18	De Graafschap	18	2	2	14	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nijmegen	10	7	2	1	+10	23
2	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+14	22
3	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+22	21
4	Groningen	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+11	20
6	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
7	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+7	17
8	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
9	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
10	Heerenveen	9	4	3	2	+1	15
11	Twente	9	4	1	4	-3	13
12	Willem II	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Roda	10	2	5	3	-4	11
15	Den Haag	9	1	6	2	-1	9
16	Excelsior	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Cambuur	10	1	4	5	-14	7
18	De Graafschap	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+14	21
3	Feyenoord	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	Vitesse	9	3	4	2	+6	13
5	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Heracles	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Excelsior	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Utrecht	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Nijmegen	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Willem II	9	1	3	5	-5	6
13	Cambuur	8	1	3	4	-9	6
14	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Heerenveen	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Roda	8	1	2	5	-13	5
17	De Graafschap	9	1	1	7	-12	4
18	Twente	9	0	3	6	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.