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Serie A

Referee: Carmine Russo

Empoli

S S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Milan

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

45%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

16 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 8. · Milan 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	20	13	5	2	+25	44
2	Juventus	20	13	3	4	+22	42
3	Inter	20	12	4	4	+12	40
4	Fiorentina	20	12	2	6	+16	38
5	Roma	20	9	8	3	+14	35
6	Milan	20	9	5	6	+4	32
7	Sassuolo	20	8	8	4	+4	32
8	Empoli	20	9	4	7	+1	31
9	Lazio	20	8	4	8	-4	28
10	Chievo	20	7	6	7	+4	27
11	Torino	20	7	5	8	+1	26
12	Atalanta	21	7	5	9	-3	26
13	Udinese	20	7	3	10	-13	24
14	Sampdoria	20	6	5	9	-3	23
15	Bologna	20	7	2	11	-5	23
16	Genoa	20	6	4	10	-3	22
17	Palermo	20	6	3	11	-14	21
18	Carpi	20	4	5	11	-16	17
19	Frosinone	21	4	4	13	-23	16
20	Verona	20	0	9	11	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	10	8	2	0	+14	26
2	Fiorentina	10	7	1	2	+13	22
3	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+10	20
5	Milan	10	6	2	2	+4	20
6	Inter	10	6	1	3	+4	19
7	Torino	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+6	18
9	Sampdoria	10	5	2	3	+6	17
10	Atalanta	10	5	2	3	+5	17
11	Sassuolo	9	4	5	0	+4	17
12	Genoa	10	5	1	4	+4	16
13	Frosinone	11	4	2	5	-5	14
14	Chievo	10	3	4	3	+3	13
15	Empoli	9	4	1	4	+1	13
16	Carpi	11	3	3	5	-2	12
17	Bologna	11	3	2	6	-1	11
18	Palermo	10	3	2	5	-4	11
19	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-8	11
20	Verona	10	0	4	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	7	1	3	+12	22
2	Inter	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Napoli	10	5	3	2	+11	18
4	Empoli	11	5	3	3	+0	18
5	Fiorentina	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Sassuolo	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Roma	10	3	5	2	+3	14
8	Chievo	10	4	2	4	+1	14
9	Udinese	10	4	1	5	-5	13
10	Milan	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Bologna	9	4	0	5	-4	12
12	Lazio	10	3	1	6	-10	10
13	Palermo	10	3	1	6	-10	10
14	Atalanta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
15	Torino	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Genoa	10	1	3	6	-7	6
17	Sampdoria	10	1	3	6	-9	6
18	Verona	10	0	5	5	-10	5
19	Carpi	9	1	2	6	-14	5
20	Frosinone	10	0	2	8	-18	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.