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Serie A

Referee: Celi Domenico

Napoli

U S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Verona

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 38%

65%

10%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

58%

35%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

2,0

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

5 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Verona 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	32	24	4	4	+41	76
2	Napoli	31	20	7	4	+36	67
3	Roma	31	18	9	4	+34	63
4	Inter	32	17	7	8	+12	58
5	Fiorentina	32	16	8	8	+16	56
6	Milan	32	13	10	9	+7	49
7	Sassuolo	32	12	12	8	+5	48
8	Chievo	32	12	8	12	-2	44
9	Lazio	31	11	9	11	-3	42
10	Genoa	32	11	7	14	+0	40
11	Empoli	32	10	9	13	-7	39
12	Torino	31	9	9	13	-4	36
13	Atalanta	31	9	9	13	-6	36
14	Bologna	31	10	6	15	-6	36
15	Udinese	31	9	7	15	-17	34
16	Sampdoria	31	8	9	14	-5	33
17	Carpi	32	6	10	16	-21	28
18	Palermo	31	7	7	17	-25	28
19	Frosinone	32	7	6	19	-31	27
20	Verona	31	3	13	15	-24	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	15	12	3	0	+23	39
2	Juventus	15	12	2	1	+17	38
3	Roma	15	10	4	1	+22	34
4	Fiorentina	16	10	4	2	+17	34
5	Inter	16	10	2	4	+9	32
6	Milan	16	9	4	3	+8	31
7	Genoa	16	9	3	4	+11	30
8	Lazio	16	8	3	5	+7	27
9	Atalanta	16	7	4	5	+5	25
10	Sassuolo	16	6	7	3	+2	25
11	Chievo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
12	Sampdoria	15	6	4	5	+5	22
13	Frosinone	17	6	4	7	-5	22
14	Torino	16	5	6	5	+2	21
15	Empoli	16	5	5	6	+0	20
16	Udinese	15	5	3	7	-6	18
17	Bologna	16	4	5	7	-1	17
18	Carpi	16	4	5	7	-5	17
19	Palermo	15	4	3	8	-6	15
20	Verona	16	2	6	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	12	2	3	+24	38
2	Roma	16	8	5	3	+12	29
3	Napoli	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Inter	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Sassuolo	16	6	5	5	+3	23
6	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	-1	22
7	Chievo	16	6	2	8	-5	20
8	Bologna	15	6	1	8	-5	19
9	Empoli	16	5	4	7	-7	19
10	Milan	16	4	6	6	-1	18
11	Udinese	16	4	4	8	-11	16
12	Torino	15	4	3	8	-6	15
13	Lazio	15	3	6	6	-10	15
14	Palermo	16	3	4	9	-19	13
15	Sampdoria	16	2	5	9	-10	11
16	Atalanta	15	2	5	8	-11	11
17	Carpi	16	2	5	9	-16	11
18	Genoa	16	2	4	10	-11	10
19	Verona	15	1	7	7	-14	10
20	Frosinone	15	1	2	12	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.