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Pro League
2–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 22/18 matches
Win Ø 40%
23%
56%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
44%
Both score Ø 63%
64%
61%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 15. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 1 3 +33 43
2 Gent 19 13 4 2 +24 43
3 Anderlecht 18 10 6 2 +12 36
4 Oostende 19 10 5 4 +13 35
5 Genk 17 10 3 4 +11 33
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 29 7 8 14 -10 29
7 Standard 22 9 2 11 -10 29
8 Waregem 18 8 4 6 +5 28
9 Westerlo 28 6 9 13 -24 27
10 Mechelen 22 7 5 10 -8 26
11 St Truiden 23 8 2 13 -10 26
12 Charleroi 18 7 4 7 +0 25
13 Beveren 22 7 3 12 -15 24
14 Kortrijk 20 5 7 8 -5 22
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 5 7 10 -7 22
16 Lokeren 23 5 6 12 -9 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Anderlecht
1–0 D. Hubert
A. Badri
4′
43′
S. Okaka 1–1
M. Suárez
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. Praet
↦ A. Büttner
V. Viola 🔁
↦ T. Dingome
62′
66′
🔁 D. Lukebakio
↦ F. Đuričić
J. Michel 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
78′
F. Marković 🔁
↦ E. Coulibaly
86′
2–1 A. Badri
V. Viola
87′
89′
🔁 I. Ezekiel
↦ M. Heylen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
23 M. Tirpan
15 J. Castelletto
5 D. Hubert
9 A. Badri
19 T. Dingome
11 D. Mohamed
17 E. Coulibaly
Bench (7)
16 V. Viola
10 J. Michel
18 F. Marković
12 T. Rausin
13 N. Aksentijević
24 N. Gulan
33 T. Defourmy

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
28 A. Büttner
14 B. Nuytinck
4 K. Mbodji
24 M. Heylen
16 S. Defour
11 F. Đuričić
8 S. Badji
99 S. Okaka
9 M. Suárez
18 F. Acheampong
Bench (6)
10 D. Praet
46 D. Lukebakio
93 I. Ezekiel
17 I. Conté
31 Y. Tielemans
33 D. Roef

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.