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Serie A
Referee: Andrea Gervasoni
Palermo
U T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Lazio
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 29%
23%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
48%
45%
Both score Ø 47%
45%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

32% Possession 68%
7 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 18. · Lazio 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 24 4 4 +41 76
2 Napoli 32 21 7 4 +39 70
3 Roma 31 18 9 4 +34 63
4 Inter 32 17 7 8 +12 58
5 Fiorentina 32 16 8 8 +16 56
6 Milan 32 13 10 9 +7 49
7 Sassuolo 32 12 12 8 +5 48
8 Chievo 32 12 8 12 -2 44
9 Lazio 31 11 9 11 -3 42
10 Genoa 32 11 7 14 +0 40
11 Torino 32 10 9 13 -3 39
12 Empoli 32 10 9 13 -7 39
13 Sampdoria 32 9 9 14 -3 36
14 Bologna 31 10 6 15 -6 36
15 Atalanta 32 9 9 14 -7 36
16 Udinese 32 9 7 16 -19 34
17 Carpi 32 6 10 16 -21 28
18 Palermo 31 7 7 17 -25 28
19 Frosinone 32 7 6 19 -31 27
20 Verona 32 3 13 16 -27 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Nov -15 Lazio – Palermo 1–1

Match report

Palermo Lazio
10′
M. Klose 0–1
15′
M. Klose 0–2
19′
🟨 Marco Parolo
Robin Quaison 🟨
33′
G. Brugman 🔁
↦ A. Lazaar
37′
Half-time 0–2
50′
🟨 Santiago Gentiletti
A. La Gumina 🔁
↦ M. Morganella
52′
69′
🔁 Felipe Anderson
↦ B. Keita
Mato Jajalo 🟨
71′
72′
Felipe Anderson 0–3
M. Klose
A. Trajkovski 🔁
↦ R. Quaison
74′
76′
🔁 Mauricio
↦ S. Lulić
78′
🔁 F. Đorđević
↦ M. Klose
88′
🟨 Mauricio
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Palermo

70 S. Sorrentino G
77 M. Morganella D
2 R. Vitiello D
4 S. Anđelković D
12 G. González D
7 A. Lazaar D
97 G. Pezzella M
28 M. Jajalo M
10 O. Hiljemark M
21 R. Quaison F
11 A. Gilardino F
Bench (11)
16 G. Brugman
54 A. La Gumina
8 A. Trajkovski
23 Aljaž Struna
25 E. Maresca
3 A. Rispoli
22 N. Balogh
53 F. Alastra
1 J. Posavec
15 T. Cionek
18 I. Chochev

Lazio

22 F. Marchetti G
13 M. Biševac D
18 S. Gentiletti D
4 Patric D
20 L. Biglia M
87 A. Candreva M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
23 O. Onazi M
11 M. Klose F
14 B. Keita F
Bench (11)
10 Felipe Anderson
33 Mauricio
9 F. Đorđević
96 A. Murgia
21 S. Milinković-Savić
80 S. Mattia
66 K. Matosevic
55 G. Guerrieri
32 D. Cataldi
17 A. Matri
97 L. Germoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andrea Gervasoni · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
1,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.