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Ligue 1

Referee: Sebastien Moreira

Lille

T S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Monaco

U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 39%

34%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

22%

47%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

53%

Average goals

1,7

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

8 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lille 7. · Monaco 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	33	26	5	2	+65	83
2	Lyon	33	16	7	10	+20	55
3	Monaco	32	14	13	5	+11	55
4	Rennes	32	13	12	7	+11	51
5	St Etienne	33	15	6	12	+5	51
6	Nice	32	14	8	10	+10	50
7	Lille	32	11	13	8	+5	46
8	Angers	33	12	10	11	+3	46
9	Caen	33	14	4	15	-9	46
10	Nantes	33	11	11	11	-5	44
11	Bastia	33	12	7	14	-6	43
12	Lorient	33	10	12	11	-6	42
13	Bordeaux	32	10	12	10	-9	42
14	Marseille	32	8	15	9	+5	39
15	Guingamp	33	10	9	14	-10	39
16	Montpellier	33	10	7	16	-4	37
17	Reims	33	9	9	15	-11	36
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	33	7	13	13	-14	34
19	Toulouse	33	7	11	15	-11	32
20	Troyes	33	2	8	23	-50	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	12	3	1	+33	39
2	Lyon	16	10	3	3	+20	33
3	Bastia	17	10	2	5	+9	32
4	St Etienne	16	9	3	4	+9	30
5	Nice	16	9	2	5	+9	29
6	Lille	16	8	4	4	+7	28
7	Monaco	16	7	6	3	+7	27
8	Bordeaux	16	7	6	3	+6	27
9	Angers	17	6	8	3	+7	26
10	Nantes	16	7	5	4	+2	26
11	Caen	17	8	2	7	-5	26
12	Lorient	16	6	6	4	+5	24
13	Guingamp	17	6	6	5	+4	24
14	Rennes	16	6	6	4	+4	24
15	Reims	17	6	5	6	+3	23
16	Toulouse	17	5	7	5	+8	22
17	Montpellier	17	7	0	10	-2	21
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	16	4	7	5	-4	19
19	Marseille	16	2	9	5	+2	15
20	Troyes	16	0	6	10	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	2	1	+32	44
2	Monaco	16	7	7	2	+4	28
3	Rennes	16	7	6	3	+7	27
4	Marseille	16	6	6	4	+3	24
5	Lyon	17	6	4	7	+0	22
6	Nice	16	5	6	5	+1	21
7	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-4	21
8	Angers	16	6	2	8	-4	20
9	Caen	16	6	2	8	-4	20
10	Lille	16	3	9	4	-2	18
11	Nantes	17	4	6	7	-7	18
12	Lorient	17	4	6	7	-11	18
13	Montpellier	16	3	7	6	-2	16
14	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	17	3	6	8	-10	15
15	Guingamp	16	4	3	9	-14	15
16	Bordeaux	16	3	6	7	-15	15
17	Reims	16	3	4	9	-14	13
18	Bastia	16	2	5	9	-15	11
19	Toulouse	16	2	4	10	-19	10
20	Troyes	17	2	2	13	-28	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.