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Pro League
Referee: Sebastien Delferiere
Lokeren
T U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Charleroi
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 24/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
25%
35%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 64%
63%
65%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lokeren 16. · Charleroi 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 17 1 3 +38 52
2 Gent 21 13 6 2 +24 45
3 Anderlecht 20 11 6 3 +14 39
4 Oostende 21 11 5 5 +13 38
5 Genk 18 10 3 5 +10 33
6 Mechelen 25 9 6 10 -3 33
7 Waregem 21 9 5 7 +7 32
8 Standard 24 10 2 12 -13 32
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Charleroi 20 7 5 8 -1 26
12 Kortrijk 23 6 8 9 -7 26
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 6 8 11 -9 26
14 St Truiden 25 8 2 15 -14 26
15 Beveren 24 7 4 13 -16 25
16 Lokeren 24 6 6 12 -8 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Charleroi
1–0 H. Harbaoui
M. Mirić
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. N'Ganga
↦ S. Willems
M. Tičinović 🔁
↦ G. Galitsios
52′
57′
🔁 D. Pollet
↦ C. Diandy
73′
🔁 A. Baby
↦ Clinton Mata
S. Bolbat 🔁
↦ Jajá
75′
S. Ingason 🔁
↦ A. Patosi
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
5 M. Marić
30 João Carlos
11 G. Galitsios
3 D. Odoi
7 K. Overmeire
21 M. Mirić
70 Jajá
9 H. Harbaoui
14 M. Terki
10 A. Patosi
Bench (7)
19 M. Tičinović
50 S. Bolbat
15 S. Ingason
1 B. Barry
17 C. Dessers
20 J. Rassoul
25 B. Ňinaj

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
3 S. Willems
25 D. Marcq
7 C. Tainmont
13 C. Diandy
28 E. Sağlık
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
41 F. N'Ganga
10 D. Pollet
18 A. Baby
6 G. Zajkov
14 C. Benavente
15 V. Baume
23 K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sebastien Delferiere · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.