Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Beveren
Mechelen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | +33 | 43 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | +24 | 43 |
| 3 |
Anderlecht
|
18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | +12 | 36 |
| 4 |
Oostende
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +13 | 35 |
| 5 |
Genk
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +11 | 33 |
| 6 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -10 | 29 |
| 7 |
Standard
|
22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -10 | 29 |
| 8 |
Waregem
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 28 |
| 9 |
Westerlo
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -24 | 27 |
| 10 |
Mechelen
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 26 |
| 11 |
St Truiden
|
23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 |
Charleroi
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +0 | 25 |
| 13 |
Beveren
|
22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 24 |
| 14 |
Kortrijk
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 |
Lokeren
|
23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Jonathan Buatu
L. Jans
S. Schrijvers
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Charleroi
Beveren
Beveren
Anderlecht
Genk
Beveren
Beveren
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Gent
Beveren
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.