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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo
Rio Ave
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Belenenses
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Belenenses
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. May -17 Rio Ave – Belenenses 2–0 15. Jan -17 Belenenses – Rio Ave 1–0 17. Jan -16 Rio Ave – Belenenses 1–2 15. Aug -15 Belenenses – Rio Ave 3–3

Match report

Rio Ave Belenenses
36′
🟨 Juanto Ortuño
Francisco Geraldes 🟨
37′
1–0 Chico Geraldes ⚽
37′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 Bruno Pereirinha
↦ Juanto
61′
🔁 F. Balogun
↦ André Sousa
73′
🟨 Merlin Tandjigora
Pedro Moreira 🔁
↦ Chico Geraldes
74′
75′
🔁 Maurides
↦ M. Tandjigora
Nuno Santos 🔁
↦ O. Barreto
80′
Tarantini 🟨
81′
Bruno Teles 🔁
↦ Yuri Ribeiro
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 Cássio
3 Lionn D
46 Marcelo D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
96 Marcão Teixeira D
10 Rúben Ribeiro M
8 Tarantini M
25 Pelé M
70 O. Barreto M
12 Chico Geraldes M
7 Guedes F
Bench (7)
6 Pedro Moreira
20 Nuno Santos
13 Bruno Teles
4 Nélson Monte
14 A. Karamanos
26 Gabrielzinho
71 Rui Vieira

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Belenenses

5-4-1
1 Muriel G
3 R. Åhman-Persson M
6 V. Sasso D
29 F. Hanin D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
25 Nuno Tomás D
4 M. Tandjigora M
8 André Sousa M
10 Diogo Viana M
11 J. Hernández F
20 Juanto F
Bench (7)
17 Bruno Pereirinha
27 F. Balogun
16 Maurides
2 João Diogo
9 Tiago Caeiro
77 Filipe Mendes
94 Filipe Chaby

Coach: Domingos Paciência

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.