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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Excelsior
T T S S T
2–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
71%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
62%
71%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 16
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 15. · FC Emmen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 18 3 1 +58 57
2 Ajax 22 17 2 3 +58 53
3 Feyenoord 21 13 3 5 +20 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 22 12 4 6 +20 40
5 Heracles 21 10 2 9 +0 32
6 VVV Venlo 22 8 5 9 -10 29
7 Vitesse 19 7 6 6 +2 27
8 Den Haag 22 7 6 9 -11 27
9 Utrecht 19 7 5 7 +1 26
10 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -12 26
11 Willem II 22 7 4 11 -8 25
12 Zwolle 22 7 4 11 -9 25
13 Heerenveen 22 5 9 8 -5 24
14 FC Emmen 21 6 6 9 -20 24
15 Excelsior 21 6 4 11 -23 22
16 Groningen 19 6 3 10 -3 21
17 De Graafschap 21 5 3 13 -28 18
18 NAC Breda 22 4 4 14 -30 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Nov -18 FC Emmen – Excelsior 1–2

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.