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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Zwolle

T S T T T

1–1

Full-time

VVV Venlo

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 36%

44%

28%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

52%

36%

Both score Ø 52%

56%

48%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

19 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 6. · VVV Venlo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	26	22	2	2	+42	68
2	Ajax	25	18	4	3	+45	58
3	AZ Alkmaar	26	17	5	4	+25	56
4	Feyenoord	26	12	6	8	+19	42
5	Utrecht	24	11	7	6	+1	40
6	Zwolle	25	11	6	8	-1	39
7	Heerenveen	25	9	8	8	-1	35
8	Vitesse	22	9	7	6	+11	34
9	Den Haag	23	9	6	8	-2	33
10	Heracles	26	9	6	11	-13	33
11	VVV Venlo	25	7	11	7	-5	32
12	Excelsior	26	9	5	12	-6	32
13	Groningen	25	5	10	10	-5	25
14	NAC Breda	26	6	6	14	-15	24
15	Willem II	26	6	5	15	-16	23
16	Twente	25	4	5	16	-19	17
17	Roda	26	4	5	17	-31	17
18	Sparta Rotterdam	25	3	6	16	-29	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	12	1	0	+25	37
2	Ajax	13	10	1	2	+23	31
3	Heracles	13	8	3	2	+7	27
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+10	26
5	Feyenoord	13	7	3	3	+10	24
6	Zwolle	12	7	2	3	+7	23
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	13	4	7	2	+5	19
9	Den Haag	12	5	3	4	+2	18
10	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-4	18
11	NAC Breda	13	5	1	7	-7	16
12	Willem II	13	4	3	6	+0	15
13	VVV Venlo	13	3	5	5	-4	14
14	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+3	13
15	Twente	12	3	3	6	-6	12
16	Roda	13	3	3	7	-11	12
17	Sparta Rotterdam	12	3	2	7	-12	11
18	Excelsior	13	2	4	7	-7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	1	2	+17	31
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	3	1	+15	30
3	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+22	27
4	Excelsior	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Feyenoord	13	5	3	5	+9	18
7	VVV Venlo	12	4	6	2	-1	18
8	Heerenveen	12	4	5	3	+3	17
9	Utrecht	12	5	2	5	-3	17
10	Zwolle	13	4	4	5	-8	16
11	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	-4	15
12	NAC Breda	13	1	5	7	-8	8
13	Willem II	13	2	2	9	-16	8
14	Groningen	12	1	3	8	-10	6
15	Heracles	13	1	3	9	-20	6
16	Twente	13	1	2	10	-13	5
17	Roda	13	1	2	10	-20	5
18	Sparta Rotterdam	13	0	4	9	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.