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La Liga
Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes
Sevilla
S T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Villarreal
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 45%
45%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 44%
42%
45%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 23
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sevilla 7. · Villarreal 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 31 24 7 0 +63 79
2 Ath Madrid 31 20 8 3 +36 68
3 Valencia 31 20 5 6 +28 65
4 Real Madrid 31 19 7 5 +43 64
5 Betis 32 16 4 12 +0 52
6 Villarreal 31 14 5 12 +4 47
7 Sevilla 31 14 4 13 -11 46
8 Girona 32 12 8 12 -5 44
9 Celta 31 12 7 12 +7 43
10 Eibar 31 11 7 13 -9 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 +5 39
12 Ath Bilbao 31 9 12 10 -2 39
13 Sociedad 31 10 7 14 +4 37
14 Espanol 31 8 12 11 -12 36
15 Leganes 31 10 6 15 -13 36
16 Alaves 31 11 2 18 -17 35
17 Levante 31 6 13 12 -17 31
18 La Coruna 31 5 8 18 -34 23
19 Las Palmas 31 5 6 20 -41 21
20 Malaga 31 4 5 22 -29 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Villarreal
22′
🟨 Denis Cheryshev
36′
Dani Raba 0–1
Samu Castillejo
Éver Banega 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
Pablo Sarabia 🟨
51′
W. Ben Yedder 🔁
↦ L. Muriel
54′
55′
🟨 Jaume Costa
Wissam Ben Yedder 🟨
62′
Wissam Ben Yedder 🟨
62′
Wissam Ben Yedder 🟥
62′
65′
🔁 R. Soriano
↦ D. Cheryshev
Nolito 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
67′
68′
C. Bacca 0–2
Dani Raba
76′
🟨 Jaume Costa
76′
🟥 Jaume Costa
78′
🔁 Javi Fuego
↦ Dani Raba
1–2 Nolito
C. Lenglet
78′
2–2 S. N'Zonzi
Sandro Ramírez
82′
Roque Mesa 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
85′
85′
🔁 E. Ünal
↦ C. Bacca
Sergio Escudero 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 David Soria G
25 G. Mercado D
18 Sergio Escudero D
5 C. Lenglet D
16 Jesús Navas M
10 É. Banega M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
22 F. Vázquez M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
20 L. Muriel F
23 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (7)
9 W. Ben Yedder
24 Nolito
7 Roque Mesa
1 Sergio Rico
3 M. Layún
6 Daniel Carriço
14 G. Pizarro

Coach: V. Montella

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Asenjo G
22 A. Rukavina D
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
7 D. Cheryshev M
14 Trigueros M
10 Samu Castillejo M
16 Rodri Hernández M
9 C. Bacca F
28 Dani Raba M
Bench (7)
20 R. Soriano
19 Javi Fuego
15 E. Ünal
18 N. Sansone
24 R. Martínez
25 M. Barbosa
30 Pau Torres

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo Gonzales Fuertes · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.