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Championship
Referee: England Darren
Nott'm Forest
U U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Ipswich
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
0,8
1,8
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Championship · 41/42 matches
Win Ø 35%
32%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
40%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 18. · Ipswich 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 42 28 8 6 +40 92
2 Cardiff 41 24 8 9 +27 80
3 Fulham 39 22 11 6 +31 77
4 Aston Villa 40 21 9 10 +25 72
5 Millwall 43 18 15 10 +15 69
6 Derby 39 18 13 8 +21 67
7 Sheffield United 43 19 9 15 +8 66
8 Middlesbrough 40 19 8 13 +19 65
9 Bristol City 42 17 14 11 +11 65
10 Brentford 42 17 13 12 +11 64
11 Preston 42 16 15 11 +8 63
12 Ipswich 42 16 8 18 -2 56
13 Norwich 42 14 14 14 -6 56
14 Leeds 43 15 9 19 -7 54
15 QPR 42 14 11 17 -10 53
16 Hull 42 11 14 17 +3 47
17 Sheffield Weds 42 11 14 17 -9 47
18 Nott'm Forest 41 13 7 21 -16 46
19 Reading 42 10 12 20 -15 42
20 Birmingham 42 11 7 24 -29 40
21 Bolton 42 9 12 21 -30 39
22 Barnsley 41 8 13 20 -19 37
23 Sunderland 42 6 15 21 -29 33
24 Burton Albion 42 7 11 24 -47 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Ipswich
38′
G. Ward 0–1
Half-time 0–1
56′
🔁 M. Carayol
↦ B. Morris
57′
🔁 C. Connolly
↦ T. Nydam
M. Cash 🔁
↦ A. Guédioura
59′
73′
🟨 Grant Ward
L. Bridcutt 🔁
↦ B. Watson
78′
A. Vellios 🔁
↦ L. Tomlin
78′
Ben Brereton 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 S. Gleeson
↦ L. Hyam
1–1 B. Brereton
89′
2–1 J. Lolley
B. Brereton
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-3-3
1 C. Pantilimon G
13 D. Fox D
27 T. Darikwa D
3 Tobias Figueiredo D
32 B. Watson M
18 J. Colback M
5 A. Guédioura M
11 B. Osborn M
15 L. Tomlin M
23 J. Lolley M
17 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
14 M. Cash
7 L. Bridcutt
39 A. Vellios
2 E. Lichaj
4 M. Mancienne
20 K. Dowell
33 S. Kapino

Coach: Karanka

Ipswich

3-5-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
12 J. Spence D
3 J. Knudsen D
27 C. Carter-Vickers D
30 M. Kenlock M
8 C. Skuse M
19 L. Hyam D
18 G. Ward M
22 T. Nydam M
9 M. Waghorn F
35 B. Morris F
Bench (7)
32 M. Carayol
16 C. Connolly
25 S. Gleeson
20 F. Sears
24 M. Crowe
34 B. Folami
37 B. Cotter

Coach: B. Klug

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

England Darren · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.