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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Heracles

S S T S T

3–0

Full-time

Zwolle

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 22%

25%

19%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 57%

69%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

22 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 6

6 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Heracles 11. · Zwolle 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	13	3	1	+35	42
2	Ajax	16	11	3	2	+22	36
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	9	6	1	+17	33
4	Heerenveen	16	8	4	4	+12	28
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	7	2	+7	25
6	Utrecht	15	6	6	3	+5	24
7	Twente	17	6	6	5	+3	24
8	Vitesse	17	6	5	6	+2	23
9	Willem II	17	4	7	6	-7	19
10	Nijmegen	17	4	7	6	-10	19
11	Heracles	16	4	6	6	-7	18
12	Sparta Rotterdam	16	4	5	7	-6	17
13	Groningen	15	4	4	7	-4	16
14	Excelsior	17	4	4	9	-9	16
15	Den Haag	16	4	2	10	-14	14
16	Zwolle	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	Roda	17	1	10	6	-13	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	16	3	2	11	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	2	0	+22	23
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Twente	9	4	3	2	+5	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	3	1	+4	15
5	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	Nijmegen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
9	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	3	2	+2	12
10	Heracles	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Vitesse	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Go Ahead Eagles	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Willem II	9	2	4	3	-4	10
15	Zwolle	9	2	3	4	-10	9
16	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-6	8
17	Den Haag	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Roda	8	0	5	3	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	3	0	+13	18
3	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+7	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Vitesse	9	3	3	3	+1	12
7	Utrecht	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Twente	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Willem II	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Groningen	8	2	2	4	+2	8
11	Roda	9	1	5	3	-8	8
12	Heracles	9	1	4	4	-9	7
13	Den Haag	9	2	1	6	-10	7
14	Nijmegen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Excelsior	8	1	2	5	-8	5
17	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	8	0	1	7	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.