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La Liga
Referee: David Medie Jimenez
Valencia
S S T T T
3–1
Full-time
Levante
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 35%
55%
14%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 9
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 4. · Levante 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 23 18 5 0 +49 59
2 Ath Madrid 23 15 7 1 +25 52
3 Real Madrid 22 12 6 4 +27 42
4 Valencia 22 12 4 6 +16 40
5 Villarreal 23 11 4 8 +6 37
6 Sevilla 23 11 3 9 -5 36
7 Eibar 23 10 5 8 -2 35
8 Celta 23 9 5 9 +7 32
9 Girona 23 8 7 8 +1 31
10 Getafe 23 7 9 7 +5 30
11 Betis 22 9 3 10 -8 30
12 Leganes 22 8 5 9 -2 29
13 Ath Bilbao 23 6 10 7 -1 28
14 Sociedad 23 7 5 11 -2 26
15 Espanol 23 6 8 9 -10 26
16 Alaves 23 8 1 14 -12 25
17 Levante 22 3 11 8 -12 20
18 Las Palmas 23 5 3 15 -33 18
19 La Coruna 22 4 5 13 -27 17
20 Malaga 23 3 4 16 -22 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Levante
13′
🟨 Róber Pier
1–0 Santi Mina
Dani Parejo
17′
18′
Sergio Postigo 1–1
Campaña
Half-time 1–1
Luciano Vietto 🟨
48′
Santi Mina 🟨
57′
2–1 L. Vietto
Santi Mina
65′
José Luis Gayà 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ C. Doukouré
F. Coquelin 🔁
↦ G. Kondogbia
73′
73′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ S. Lukić
S. Zaza 🔁
↦ L. Vietto
79′
84′
🟨 Sergio Postigo
84′
🟨 Enis Bardhi
87′
🔁 E. Boateng
↦ Coke
88′
🟨 Antonio Luna
3–1 Dani Parejo
89′
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ Carlos Soler
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
21 Martín Montoya D
14 José Gayá D
3 Rúben Vezo D
10 Dani Parejo M
16 G. Kondogbia M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
18 Carlos Soler M
8 L. Vietto F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
17 F. Coquelin
9 S. Zaza
6 N. Maksimović
1 Jaume Doménech
15 Toni Lato
20 Ferrán Torres
30 Nacho Vidal

Coach: Marcelino

Levante

4-1-4-1
13 Oier G
12 Coke D
22 Luna D
15 Sergio Postigo D
4 Rober D
5 C. Doukouré M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
20 S. Lukić M
17 G. Pazzini F
14 Ivi López M
Bench (7)
10 E. Bardhi
9 Roger Martí
21 E. Boateng
6 Chema
19 Pedro López
23 Jason
27 Koke

Coach: Juan Muñiz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.