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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Manganiello

Roma

T U U T S

5–2

Full-time

Benevento

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

57%

Points per game

1,9

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

35%

61%

Both score Ø 41%

43%

39%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,4

0,6

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

21 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 3

4 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 5. · Benevento 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	24	20	3	1	+39	63
2	Juventus	24	20	2	2	+46	62
3	Inter	24	13	9	2	+21	48
4	Lazio	24	14	4	6	+26	46
5	Roma	23	13	5	5	+16	44
6	Sampdoria	24	12	5	7	+12	41
7	Milan	24	11	5	8	+4	38
8	Atalanta	24	10	7	7	+8	37
9	Torino	24	8	12	4	+6	36
10	Udinese	24	10	3	11	+2	33
11	Fiorentina	24	8	7	9	+2	31
12	Genoa	24	7	6	11	-6	27
13	Bologna	24	8	3	13	-8	27
14	Cagliari	24	7	4	13	-12	25
15	Sassuolo	24	6	5	13	-27	23
16	Chievo	24	5	7	12	-20	22
17	Crotone	24	5	6	13	-22	21
18	Spal	24	3	8	13	-23	17
19	Verona	24	4	4	16	-26	16
20	Benevento	23	2	1	20	-38	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	10	1	1	+26	31
2	Napoli	12	9	2	1	+21	29
3	Sampdoria	13	9	2	2	+18	29
4	Inter	13	8	4	1	+14	28
5	Roma	12	7	1	4	+6	22
6	Atalanta	12	6	3	3	+8	21
7	Lazio	11	6	2	3	+16	20
8	Torino	12	5	5	2	+9	20
9	Milan	11	6	2	3	+1	20
10	Udinese	12	5	2	5	+4	17
11	Fiorentina	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Cagliari	12	4	1	7	-4	13
13	Chievo	12	3	4	5	-5	13
14	Crotone	12	3	4	5	-6	13
15	Bologna	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Spal	12	2	5	5	-9	11
17	Sassuolo	12	2	4	6	-9	10
18	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-7	8
19	Verona	12	2	1	9	-15	7
20	Benevento	12	2	1	9	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	11	1	0	+18	34
2	Juventus	12	10	1	1	+20	31
3	Lazio	13	8	2	3	+10	26
4	Roma	11	6	4	1	+10	22
5	Inter	11	5	5	1	+7	20
6	Genoa	13	5	4	4	+1	19
7	Milan	13	5	3	5	+3	18
8	Atalanta	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	Udinese	12	5	1	6	-2	16
10	Torino	12	3	7	2	-3	16
11	Fiorentina	12	4	3	5	+2	15
12	Bologna	12	5	0	7	-5	15
13	Sassuolo	12	4	1	7	-18	13
14	Sampdoria	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Cagliari	12	3	3	6	-8	12
16	Verona	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Chievo	12	2	3	7	-15	9
18	Crotone	12	2	2	8	-16	8
19	Spal	12	1	3	8	-14	6
20	Benevento	11	0	0	11	-22	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.