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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Martens
Excelsior
T T T T S
0–0
Full-time
Twente
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
35%
24%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
65%
71%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
59%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 11. · Twente 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +28 46
2 Ajax 17 12 2 3 +35 38
3 AZ Alkmaar 18 12 2 4 +15 38
4 Zwolle 18 9 6 3 +5 33
5 Feyenoord 16 8 5 3 +17 29
6 Den Haag 17 8 2 7 -1 26
7 Utrecht 15 7 3 5 -3 24
8 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 -3 23
9 Heracles 17 6 4 7 -9 22
10 Vitesse 15 5 5 5 +6 20
11 Excelsior 17 6 2 9 -6 20
12 VVV Venlo 17 4 7 6 -6 19
13 Groningen 17 4 5 8 -4 17
14 Willem II 17 4 4 9 -11 16
15 NAC Breda 18 4 4 10 -15 16
16 Twente 17 4 2 11 -9 14
17 Roda 17 3 2 12 -19 11
18 Sparta Rotterdam 16 2 5 9 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -17 Twente – Excelsior 1–3 12. Feb -17 Excelsior – Twente 1–1 6. Aug -16 Twente – Excelsior 1–2 20. Apr -16 Twente – Excelsior 2–0 5. Dec -15 Excelsior – Twente 1–1

Match report

Excelsior Twente
26′
🟨 Cristian Cuevas
Half-time 0–0
Ryan Koolwijk 🟨
54′
65′
🔁 A. Tighadouini
↦ T. Boere
J. Caenepeel 🔁
↦ A. Hadouir
68′
L. Bruins 🔁
↦ S. Elbers
79′
A. Messaoud 🔁
↦ K. Vermeulen
82′
85′
🟨 Thomas Lam
90′
🔁 J. van der Heyden
↦ S. Thesker
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3
12 T. Zwarthoed
15 J. Mattheij D
30 J. de Wijs D
4 W. Faes D
7 A. Hadouir F
8 R. Koolwijk M
22 Jeffry Fortes D
6 H. Faik M
18 K. Vermeulen M
9 M. van Duinen F
11 S. Elbers F
Bench (8)
23 J. Caenepeel
10 L. Bruins
14 A. Messaoud
16 M. Havekotte
19 Z. El Azzouzi
21 D. Haspolat
25 Ö. Kristinsson
28 L. Burnet

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Twente

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
5 S. Thesker D
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
21 D. Holla M
19 F. Jensen M
11 A. Laukart M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (10)
34 A. Tighadouini
23 J. van der Heyden
4 J. Hooiveld
6 D. Trajkovski
14 R. Jensen
17 M. Kvasina
18 M. Liendl
26 J. Brondeel
28 J. van der Lely
30 D. George

Coach: G. Verbeek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Richard Martens · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.