Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ajax
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | +28 | 46 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | +37 | 41 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | +15 | 39 |
| 4 |
Zwolle
|
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 36 |
| 5 |
Feyenoord
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | +21 | 32 |
| 6 |
Den Haag
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 |
Vitesse
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +7 | 24 |
| 9 |
Heerenveen
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 24 |
| 10 |
Excelsior
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 |
VVV Venlo
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 |
Heracles
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 |
Groningen
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 20 |
| 14 |
Twente
|
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -9 | 16 |
| 15 |
Willem II
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 16 |
| 16 |
NAC Breda
|
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -16 | 16 |
| 17 |
Roda
|
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -23 | 12 |
| 18 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -26 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ajax
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Ajax
Excelsior
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
Ajax
Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.