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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Standard

U T S T S

4–3

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 17/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

35%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

59%

52%

Both score Ø 66%

71%

60%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

10 Corners 3

2 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Standard 14. · Royal Excel Mouscron 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	18	14	3	1	+26	45
2	Antwerp	26	9	10	7	+1	37
3	Kortrijk	26	10	6	10	+2	36
4	Anderlecht	16	10	4	2	+11	34
5	Beveren	26	9	7	10	+3	34
6	St Truiden	26	8	9	9	-10	33
7	Charleroi	16	9	5	2	+14	32
8	Gent	17	9	4	4	+16	31
9	Genk	18	7	8	3	+6	29
10	Oostende	26	8	5	13	-1	29
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	25	8	5	12	-11	29
12	Waregem	26	8	4	14	-8	28
13	Lokeren	25	7	6	12	-13	27
14	Standard	17	6	6	5	+2	24
15	Mechelen	26	5	7	14	-19	22
16	Eupen	26	4	9	13	-19	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	St Truiden	13	7	3	3	+2	24
3	Kortrijk	13	6	5	2	+10	23
4	Beveren	13	6	3	4	+8	21
5	Gent	8	6	0	2	+12	18
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	5	3	5	-5	18
7	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+8	17
8	Eupen	13	4	5	4	-2	17
9	Charleroi	8	4	4	0	+6	16
10	Standard	8	4	3	1	+2	15
11	Antwerp	13	3	6	4	+1	15
12	Oostende	13	5	0	8	-2	15
13	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Waregem	13	4	2	7	-8	14
15	Genk	9	2	6	1	+2	12
16	Lokeren	13	2	4	7	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	13	6	4	3	+0	22
2	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+9	18
3	Genk	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+3	17
5	Lokeren	12	5	2	5	-1	17
6	Charleroi	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Oostende	13	3	5	5	+1	14
8	Waregem	13	4	2	7	+0	14
9	Gent	9	3	4	2	+4	13
10	Beveren	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Kortrijk	13	4	1	8	-8	13
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-6	11
13	Standard	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	St Truiden	13	1	6	6	-12	9
15	Mechelen	13	1	4	8	-14	7
16	Eupen	13	0	4	9	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.