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La Liga

Referee: Alexander Gonzalez Gonzalez

Celta

U S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Espanol

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

41%

27%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

73%

32%

Both score Ø 57%

73%

41%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%

18 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 8. · Espanol 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	23	18	5	0	+49	59
2	Ath Madrid	23	15	7	1	+25	52
3	Real Madrid	22	12	6	4	+27	42
4	Valencia	22	12	4	6	+16	40
5	Villarreal	23	11	4	8	+6	37
6	Sevilla	23	11	3	9	-5	36
7	Eibar	23	10	5	8	-2	35
8	Celta	22	9	4	9	+7	31
9	Girona	23	8	7	8	+1	31
10	Getafe	23	7	9	7	+5	30
11	Betis	22	9	3	10	-8	30
12	Leganes	22	8	5	9	-2	29
13	Ath Bilbao	23	6	10	7	-1	28
14	Sociedad	23	7	5	11	-2	26
15	Espanol	22	6	7	9	-10	25
16	Alaves	23	8	1	14	-12	25
17	Levante	22	3	11	8	-12	20
18	Las Palmas	23	5	3	15	-33	18
19	La Coruna	22	4	5	13	-27	17
20	Malaga	23	3	4	16	-22	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	2	0	+26	29
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	4	0	+11	25
3	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+9	24
4	Real Madrid	12	7	2	3	+18	23
5	Valencia	11	7	2	2	+12	23
6	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+10	21
7	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
8	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+10	20
9	Betis	12	6	2	4	-1	20
10	Espanol	12	5	3	4	+0	18
11	Girona	11	5	2	4	+5	17
12	Leganes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
13	Alaves	12	5	1	6	-4	16
14	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+4	15
15	Celta	10	4	3	3	+2	15
16	Ath Bilbao	11	3	6	2	+2	15
17	Las Palmas	11	4	1	6	-10	13
18	Levante	12	2	5	5	-6	11
19	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
20	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	9	3	0	+23	30
2	Ath Madrid	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Valencia	11	5	2	4	+4	17
5	Villarreal	12	5	2	5	-4	17
6	Celta	12	5	1	6	+5	16
7	Girona	12	3	5	4	-4	14
8	Eibar	11	4	2	5	-12	14
9	Ath Bilbao	12	3	4	5	-3	13
10	Leganes	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Sevilla	12	4	0	8	-14	12
12	Sociedad	11	3	2	6	-6	11
13	Betis	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	Getafe	11	1	6	4	-4	9
15	Levante	10	1	6	3	-6	9
16	Alaves	11	3	0	8	-8	9
17	Espanol	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	La Coruna	11	1	3	7	-20	6
19	Las Palmas	12	1	2	9	-23	5
20	Malaga	12	1	1	10	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.