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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Twente
T S U U U
0–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 53%
21%
84%
Points per game
0,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
74%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
53%
Average goals
3,1
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 15. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 16 1 2 +29 49
2 Ajax 19 14 2 3 +39 44
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Zwolle 19 10 6 3 +6 36
5 Feyenoord 19 9 6 4 +19 33
6 Den Haag 18 8 3 7 -1 27
7 Heerenveen 19 7 6 6 -2 27
8 Utrecht 17 7 5 5 -3 26
9 Vitesse 17 6 6 5 +7 24
10 Excelsior 19 7 3 9 -5 24
11 VVV Venlo 19 5 8 6 -4 23
12 Heracles 20 6 5 9 -12 23
13 Groningen 20 5 7 8 +0 22
14 Willem II 19 4 5 10 -13 17
15 Twente 19 4 4 11 -9 16
16 NAC Breda 19 4 4 11 -16 16
17 Roda 19 3 3 13 -23 12
18 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 5 13 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente PSV Eindhoven
4′
H. Lozano 0–1
S. Bergwijn
Half-time 0–1
M. El Hamdaoui 🔁
↦ T. Boere
65′
71′
🔁 D. Luckassen
↦ S. Bergwijn
A. Tighadouini 🔁
↦ C. Cuevas
80′
84′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ B. Ramselaar
J. Hooiveld 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
86′
Adam Maher 🟨
90′
90′
S. Arias 0–2
Mauro Júnior
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Twente

5-3-2
16 J. Drommel G
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
10 H. Vučkič M
20 A. Maher M
14 R. Jensen D
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (8)
29 M. El Hamdaoui
34 A. Tighadouini
4 J. Hooiveld
5 S. Thesker
11 A. Laukart
21 D. Holla
26 J. Brondeel
28 J. van der Lely

Coach: G. Verbeek

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (12)
3 D. Luckassen
47 Mauro Júnior
35 D. Malen
7 G. Pereiro
13 E. Room
14 S. Lammers
16 D. Rigo
18 P. Rosario
29 Albert Gudmundsson
31 Y. van Osch
32 K. Paal
50 A. Obispo

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.