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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Barcelona

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Alaves

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

3,5

1,0

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+3,2

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 58%

85%

30%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

65%

35%

Both score Ø 33%

35%

30%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,9

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

77% Possession 23%

18 Shots 7

12 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 10

8 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Alaves 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	20	17	3	0	+48	54
2	Ath Madrid	21	13	7	1	+23	46
3	Valencia	21	12	4	5	+17	40
4	Real Madrid	20	11	5	4	+24	38
5	Villarreal	21	11	4	6	+8	37
6	Sevilla	21	10	3	8	-2	33
7	Eibar	21	8	5	8	-7	29
8	Celta	20	8	4	8	+7	28
9	Getafe	21	7	7	7	+5	28
10	Girona	21	7	7	7	+0	28
11	Leganes	20	8	4	8	-1	28
12	Ath Bilbao	21	6	9	6	+1	27
13	Betis	20	8	3	9	-8	27
14	Espanol	21	6	6	9	-10	24
15	Sociedad	21	6	5	10	-4	23
16	Levante	21	3	10	8	-12	19
17	Alaves	20	6	1	13	-13	19
18	La Coruna	21	4	5	12	-22	17
19	Las Palmas	21	4	2	15	-34	14
20	Malaga	21	3	4	14	-20	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+25	25
2	Valencia	11	7	2	2	+12	23
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	4	0	+10	22
4	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+15	20
6	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+11	20
7	Getafe	11	6	2	3	+9	20
8	Eibar	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+2	17
10	Espanol	11	5	2	4	+0	17
11	Betis	11	5	2	4	-2	17
12	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
13	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	+2	14
14	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-5	13
15	Celta	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Sociedad	11	3	3	5	-1	12
17	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	-6	10
19	Las Palmas	10	3	1	6	-11	10
20	Malaga	10	2	3	5	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	2	0	+23	29
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	Valencia	10	5	2	3	+5	17
5	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	-3	17
6	Celta	11	5	1	5	+6	16
7	Girona	11	3	5	3	-3	14
8	Ath Bilbao	11	3	4	4	-1	13
9	Sevilla	11	4	0	7	-10	12
10	Sociedad	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-3	11
12	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-13	11
13	Betis	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	Levante	10	1	6	3	-6	9
15	Getafe	10	1	5	4	-4	8
16	Espanol	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	Alaves	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	La Coruna	10	1	3	6	-15	6
19	Malaga	11	1	1	9	-14	4
20	Las Palmas	11	1	1	9	-23	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.