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Eredivisie
Referee: Paulus van Boekel
Roda
U T T T S
2–2
Full-time
Groningen
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 6
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 18. · Groningen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 13 0 1 +27 39
2 AZ Alkmaar 15 11 1 3 +14 34
3 Ajax 14 9 2 3 +29 29
4 Zwolle 15 8 5 2 +8 29
5 Feyenoord 14 7 4 3 +10 25
6 Utrecht 12 6 2 4 -2 20
7 Den Haag 14 6 2 6 -3 20
8 Heerenveen 14 5 4 5 -2 19
9 Vitesse 12 5 3 4 +7 18
10 Heracles 15 5 3 7 -10 18
11 Excelsior 15 5 2 8 -6 17
12 VVV Venlo 15 3 7 5 -6 16
13 Groningen 14 4 3 7 -2 15
14 Willem II 15 4 3 8 -10 15
15 NAC Breda 15 3 4 8 -15 13
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 5 7 -12 11
17 Twente 15 3 1 11 -10 10
18 Roda 14 3 1 10 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Groningen
1–0 Simon Gustafson
14′
2–0 Simon Gustafson
34′
37′
T. van Weert 2–1
Jesper Drost
Half-time 2–1
57′
🔁 M. Mahi
↦ R. Doan
Adil Auassar 🟥
58′
59′
T. van Weert 2–2
F. Ananou 🔁
↦ M. Engels
62′
Simon Gustafsson 🟨
63′
O. Gnjatić 🔁
↦ W. Ndenge
86′
87′
🔁 T. Kane
↦ Y. van Nieff
G. van Velzen 🔁
↦ M. Rosheuvel
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 H. Jurjus G
4 C. Kum D
2 H. Dijkhuizen D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
6 M. El Makrini M
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
14 M. Engels M
Bench (10)
3 F. Ananou
15 O. Gnjatić
11 G. van Velzen
20 D. Werker
23 N. Rutjes
18 J. Vancamp
5 A. van Peppen
30 B. Derksen
25 L. Milts
16 F. Kurto

Coach: R. Molenaar

Groningen

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
21 D. Warmerdam D
17 Jesper Drost M
20 Y. van Nieff M
7 J. Bacuna M
25 R. Doan M
68 L. Reis M
19 T. van Weert F
11 O. Idrissi F
Bench (10)
10 M. Mahi
2 T. Kane
36 T. van de Looi
14 C. Antuna
42 G. Postma
16 K. Begois
31 J. Hoekstra
6 E. Reijnen
39 A. Absalem
47 M. Breij

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paulus van Boekel · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.