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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Roda
T T S U T
0–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 18. · VVV Venlo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 14 1 2 +27 43
2 Ajax 16 11 2 3 +34 35
3 AZ Alkmaar 16 11 2 3 +14 35
4 Zwolle 17 9 6 2 +9 33
5 Feyenoord 15 7 5 3 +10 26
6 Heerenveen 16 6 5 5 -1 23
7 Utrecht 13 7 2 4 -1 23
8 Den Haag 16 7 2 7 -5 23
9 Heracles 16 6 3 7 -9 21
10 Vitesse 13 5 4 4 +7 19
11 Groningen 16 4 5 7 -2 17
12 Excelsior 16 5 2 9 -8 17
13 VVV Venlo 16 3 7 6 -7 16
14 Willem II 17 4 4 9 -11 16
15 Twente 16 4 1 11 -9 13
16 NAC Breda 17 3 4 10 -17 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 15 2 5 8 -13 11
18 Roda 16 3 2 11 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.