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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Feyenoord
U S S U S
5–1
Full-time
Roda
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
18%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
59%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
59%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,9
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 5. · Roda 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +28 46
2 Ajax 18 13 2 3 +37 41
3 AZ Alkmaar 18 12 2 4 +15 38
4 Zwolle 18 9 6 3 +5 33
5 Feyenoord 16 8 5 3 +17 29
6 Den Haag 17 8 2 7 -1 26
7 Utrecht 15 7 3 5 -3 24
8 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 -3 23
9 VVV Venlo 18 5 7 6 -4 22
10 Heracles 18 6 4 8 -11 22
11 Excelsior 18 6 3 9 -6 21
12 Vitesse 15 5 5 5 +6 20
13 Groningen 18 5 5 8 +0 20
14 Willem II 18 4 4 10 -13 16
15 NAC Breda 18 4 4 10 -15 16
16 Twente 18 4 3 11 -9 15
17 Roda 17 3 2 12 -19 11
18 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 5 10 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Oct -17 Roda – Feyenoord 1–1 15. Jan -17 Roda – Feyenoord 0–2 25. Sep -16 Feyenoord – Roda 5–0 21. Feb -16 Feyenoord – Roda 1–1 20. Sep -15 Roda – Feyenoord 1–1

Match report

Feyenoord Roda
1–0 N. Jørgensen ⚽
S. Larsson
1′
2–0 J. Toornstra ⚽
S. Larsson
4′
Half-time 2–1
50′
⚽ Simon Gustafson 2–1
M. Engels
3–1 N. Jørgensen ⚽
56′
67′
🔁 L. Milts
↦ M. Rosheuvel
K. Diks 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
71′
S. Amrabat 🔁
↦ T. Malacia
74′
79′
🔁 J. Vancamp
↦ M. El Makrini
83′
🟨 Daryl Werker
4–1 S. Berghuis ⚽
N. Jørgensen
89′
5–1 S. Berghuis ⚽
S. Larsson
92′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
3 S. van Beek D
35 T. Malacia D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
20 R. Tapia M
10 T. Vilhena M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
Bench (9)
17 K. Diks
21 S. Amrabat
1 K. Vermeer
4 J. St. Juste
7 J. Boëtius
14 B. Basaçikoglu
22 J. Bijlow
34 D. Vente
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 H. Jurjus G
2 H. Dijkhuizen D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
20 D. Werker D
3 F. Ananou D
6 M. El Makrini M
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
14 M. Engels M
Bench (8)
25 L. Milts
18 J. Vancamp
24 N. Souren
5 A. van Peppen
11 G. van Velzen
16 F. Kurto
23 N. Rutjes
30 B. Derksen

Coach: R. Molenaar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.