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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Excelsior

T S U T T

0–1

Full-time

Roda

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Roda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,0

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-2,0

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

1,3

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

75%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,4

0,4

Conceded

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

18 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 10. · Roda 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Heerenveen	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+4	14
6	Twente	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	4	1	+5	13
8	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-4	10
10	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Heracles	9	1	5	3	-3	8
14	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	2	5	-7	8
15	Willem II	9	1	4	4	-8	7
16	Groningen	9	1	3	5	-8	6
17	Zwolle	9	1	3	5	-13	6
18	Roda	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Twente	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Utrecht	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Groningen	5	0	2	3	-9	2
18	Roda	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Vitesse	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-4	6
7	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-3	5
8	Groningen	4	1	1	2	+1	4
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Heracles	5	0	4	1	-2	4
12	Twente	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Zwolle	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Roda	4	0	2	2	-7	2
18	Go Ahead Eagles	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.