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Eredivisie
Referee: Christaan Bax
Den Haag
T T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Zwolle
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
2,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 23%
28%
17%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
56%
61%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 13
1 Blocked shots 3
11 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 14. · Zwolle 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 18 14 3 1 +37 45
2 Ajax 18 12 4 2 +24 40
3 PSV Eindhoven 18 10 7 1 +19 37
4 Heerenveen 17 9 4 4 +14 31
5 AZ Alkmaar 17 7 8 2 +9 29
6 Utrecht 16 7 6 3 +6 27
7 Twente 19 7 6 6 +2 27
8 Vitesse 18 7 5 6 +4 26
9 Nijmegen 18 5 7 6 -9 22
10 Heracles 19 5 6 8 -8 21
11 Groningen 17 5 5 7 -1 20
12 Willem II 18 4 7 7 -8 19
13 Sparta Rotterdam 19 4 6 9 -8 18
14 Den Haag 18 5 2 11 -15 17
15 Excelsior 18 4 4 10 -11 16
16 Zwolle 18 3 5 10 -23 14
17 Roda 18 1 10 7 -15 13
18 Go Ahead Eagles 18 3 3 12 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Zwolle
1–0 G. Kastaneer
A. El Mahdioui
10′
D. van der Heijden 🔁
↦ G. Kastaneer
21′
23′
🟨 Danny Holla
38′
K. Ehizibue 1–1
R. Thomas
Half-time 1–1
Ashraf El Mahdioui 🟨
48′
54′
🟨 Ted Van de Pavert
56′
N. Brock-Madsen 1–2
K. Ehizibue
L. Marengo 🔁
↦ D. Bakker
60′
70′
🔁 W. Marinus
↦ D. Holla
Thomas Meissner 🟨
71′
79′
🔁 S. Nijland
↦ M. Saymak
82′
🔁 B. Schenkeveld
↦ Q. Menig
E. Duplan 🔁
↦ T. Trybull
84′
85′
🟨 Dirk Marcellis
Edouard Duplan 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 E. Šetkus G
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
3 T. Meißner D
28 T. Ebuehi D
27 T. David D
12 T. Trybull M
17 D. Bakker M
6 A. El Mahdioui M
20 R. Schaken F
77 S. Becker F
33 G. Kastaneer F
Bench (7)
19 D. van der Heijden
11 L. Marengo
21 E. Duplan
22 R. Zwinkels
24 R. de Boer
30 J. Schouten
34 H. Asmelash

Coach: Z. Petrović

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
3 T. van de Pavert D
21 D. Warmerdam D
23 D. Holla M
6 M. Saymak M
44 N. Brock-Madsen F
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (8)
8 W. Marinus
10 S. Nijland
22 B. Schenkeveld
9 A. Achahbar
13 P. Sandler
16 K. Begois
40 M. Hauptmeijer
98 H. Mastour

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.