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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
Zwolle
T U T T S
1–2
Full-time
Twente
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
21%
37%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
63%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
47%
68%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zwolle 16. · Twente 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 19 15 3 1 +38 48
2 Ajax 19 13 4 2 +25 43
3 PSV Eindhoven 20 12 7 1 +21 43
4 Heerenveen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
5 Utrecht 18 8 6 4 +6 30
6 AZ Alkmaar 17 7 8 2 +9 29
7 Vitesse 19 7 6 6 +4 27
8 Twente 19 7 6 6 +2 27
9 Nijmegen 19 6 7 6 -7 25
10 Groningen 19 5 7 7 -1 22
11 Willem II 20 5 7 8 -8 22
12 Heracles 20 5 6 9 -9 21
13 Sparta Rotterdam 20 4 6 10 -9 18
14 Excelsior 20 4 5 11 -15 17
15 Den Haag 19 5 2 12 -16 17
16 Zwolle 19 4 5 10 -22 17
17 Roda 20 2 10 8 -13 16
18 Go Ahead Eagles 20 3 4 13 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Twente
8′
D. Seys 0–1
J. Andersen
1–1 Q. Menig
K. Ehizibue
31′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Hidde ter Avest
B. Schenkeveld 🔁
↦ T. van de Pavert
46′
49′
🟥 Bersant Celina
55′
O. Assaidi 1–2
58′
🔁 D. Trajkovski
↦ O. Assaidi
62′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ D. Seys
Y. Mokhtar 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
68′
S. Nijland 🔁
↦ Q. Menig
71′
82′
🔁 P. Bijen
↦ E. Ünal
Bram Van Polen 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
3 T. van de Pavert D
21 D. Warmerdam D
23 D. Holla M
6 M. Saymak M
44 N. Brock-Madsen F
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (9)
22 B. Schenkeveld
7 Y. Mokhtar
10 S. Nijland
8 W. Marinus
13 P. Sandler
14 E. Israelsson
16 K. Begois
35 H. Ongenda
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: R. Jans

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
3 J. Andersen D
2 H. ter Avest D
28 J. van der Lely D
43 M. Klich M
22 K. Mokotjo M
8 O. Assaidi F
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
11 D. Seys M
Bench (8)
6 D. Trajkovski
19 F. Jensen
25 P. Bijen
13 N. Hengelman
14 Y. Yeboah
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden
24 J. Oosterwijk

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.