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Premier League

Referee: Anthony Taylor

Burnley

S T T S U

3–2

Full-time

Crystal Palace

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

30%

70%

Average goals

2,1

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

14 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burnley 14. · Crystal Palace 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	7	2	1	+15	23
2	Arsenal	10	7	2	1	+13	23
3	Liverpool	10	7	2	1	+11	23
4	Chelsea	10	7	1	2	+12	22
5	Tottenham	10	5	5	0	+9	20
6	Everton	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	Watford	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Man United	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Southampton	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Bournemouth	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Leicester	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	Stoke	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Crystal Palace	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Burnley	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Middlesbrough	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	West Brom	10	2	4	4	-4	10
17	West Ham	10	3	1	6	-9	10
18	Hull	10	2	1	7	-15	7
19	Swansea	10	1	2	7	-9	5
20	Sunderland	10	0	2	8	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Man City	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Leicester	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Everton	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Tottenham	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Liverpool	4	3	1	0	+8	10
7	Bournemouth	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Burnley	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
11	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Watford	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Stoke	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	West Ham	5	2	1	2	-3	7
15	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Middlesbrough	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Hull	5	1	0	4	-7	3
19	Swansea	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Liverpool	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Man City	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Chelsea	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Tottenham	5	2	3	0	+5	9
6	Watford	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Everton	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Man United	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	Middlesbrough	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Southampton	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Stoke	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Hull	5	1	1	3	-8	4
15	Swansea	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	West Ham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Bournemouth	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-5	1
19	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-8	1
20	Leicester	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.