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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Las Palmas
U U U T U
1–0
Full-time
Eibar
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 11. · Eibar 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +18 24
2 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +18 22
3 Ath Madrid 11 6 3 2 +17 21
4 Sevilla 10 6 3 1 +5 21
5 Villarreal 10 5 4 1 +10 19
6 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Ath Bilbao 10 5 1 4 +2 16
8 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +2 15
9 Malaga 11 4 3 4 +1 15
10 Celta 10 4 2 4 -4 14
11 Las Palmas 10 3 4 3 +2 13
12 Alaves 11 3 4 4 -4 13
13 Espanol 10 2 5 3 -4 11
14 Betis 10 3 2 5 -9 11
15 Valencia 10 3 1 6 -5 10
16 La Coruna 11 2 4 5 -8 10
17 Leganes 10 3 1 6 -10 10
18 Sp Gijon 11 2 3 6 -12 9
19 Osasuna 11 1 4 6 -9 7
20 Granada 11 0 4 7 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Eibar
12′
🟨 Dani García
21′
🟨 Kike
David García 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
67′
🔁 Adrián
↦ Kike
M. Livaja 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
71′
76′
🔁 Bebé
↦ T. Inui
79′
🟨 Fran Rico
N. El Zhar 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
80′
86′
🔁 G. Escalante
↦ Fran Rico
87′
🟨 Sergi Enrich
90′
🟨 Anaitz Arbilla
1–0 Jonathan Viera
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
1 Raúl Lizoáin G
5 David García D
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Bigas D
7 K. Boateng M
21 Jonathan Viera M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 S. Araújo M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
9 M. Livaja
8 N. El Zhar
2 David Simón
3 M. Lemos
6 Montoro
11 Momo
13 Javi Varas

Coach: Quique Setién

Eibar

4-4-2
13 Asier Riesgo G
4 Ramis D
18 Arbilla D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
8 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
16 Fran Rico M
14 Dani García M
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
24 Adrián
25 Bebé
5 G. Escalante
1 Yoel
3 Alejandro Gálvez
7 Ander Capa
11 Rubén Peña

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.