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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Twente
S T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Zwolle
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
88%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,9
Scored
2,0
0,6
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 7. · Zwolle 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 8 8 0 0 +21 24
2 Ajax 8 6 1 1 +12 19
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 5 3 1 +11 18
4 Heerenveen 8 5 2 1 +11 17
5 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 +4 14
6 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 4 1 +5 13
7 Twente 8 4 1 3 +2 13
8 Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 3 3 +0 12
9 Den Haag 8 3 1 4 -4 10
10 Excelsior 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 Nijmegen 8 2 3 3 -6 9
12 Utrecht 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Heracles 9 1 5 3 -3 8
14 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 2 5 -7 8
15 Willem II 9 1 4 4 -8 7
16 Groningen 9 1 3 5 -8 6
17 Zwolle 8 1 2 5 -13 5
18 Roda 8 0 3 5 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Zwolle
8′
🟨 Philippe Sandler
1–0 M. Klich
10′
26′
🔁 D. Warmerdam
↦ W. Brama
Mateusz Klich 🟨
28′
Dejan Trajkovski 🟨
36′
40′
Y. Mokhtar 1–1
A. Achahbar
Half-time 1–1
D. Seys 🔁
↦ Y. Yeboah
65′
71′
🔁 Q. Menig
↦ M. Saymak
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ C. Ede
76′
76′
🔁 A. Karagounis
↦ K. Ehizibue
2–1 E. Ünal
B. Celina
77′
84′
D. Warmerdam 2–2
D. Holla
Peet Bijen 🟨
86′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
6 D. Trajkovski D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
7 C. Ede F
43 M. Klich M
22 K. Mokotjo M
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
14 Y. Yeboah F
Bench (8)
11 D. Seys
19 F. Jensen
28 J. van der Lely
4 G. Katsikas
13 N. Hengelman
24 J. Oosterwijk
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden

Coach: R. Hake

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
3 T. van de Pavert D
22 B. Schenkeveld D
5 C. Verdonk D
13 P. Sandler D
23 D. Holla M
14 W. Brama M
6 M. Saymak M
9 A. Achahbar F
7 Y. Mokhtar F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (8)
21 D. Warmerdam
11 Q. Menig
33 A. Karagounis
2 B. van Polen
16 K. Begois
25 D. Bredewolt
98 H. Mastour
4 D. Marcellis

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.