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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Brann
T U S S U
1–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
50%
23%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
35%
65%
Both score Ø 56%
35%
77%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 2. · Lillestrom 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 27 20 6 1 +42 66
2 Brann 26 13 6 7 +13 45
3 Odd 26 12 6 8 +7 42
4 Molde 26 12 5 9 +5 41
5 Haugesund 26 11 8 7 +4 41
6 Sarpsborg 08 27 11 8 8 -2 41
7 Viking 27 11 7 9 -1 40
8 Stromsgodset 27 10 7 10 +1 37
9 Sogndal 26 8 11 7 +1 35
10 Aalesund 27 10 5 12 -8 35
11 Valerenga 26 8 6 12 -3 30
12 Bodo/Glimt 27 8 6 13 -5 30
13 Tromso 27 8 6 13 -9 30
14 Stabaek 26 7 6 13 -6 27
15 Lillestrom 26 6 8 12 -7 26
16 Start 27 2 9 16 -32 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. May -16 Lillestrom – Brann 1–0

Match report

Brann Lillestrom
30′
I. Mathew 0–1
Half-time 0–1
E. Huseklepp 🔁
↦ D. Braaten
46′
1–1 A. Karadas
E. Huseklepp
55′
65′
🟨 Bassel Jradi
66′
🟨 Gary Martin
66′
🔁 O. Rindarøy
↦ Bassel Jradi
69′
🟨 Matthew Ifeanyi
G. Sørensen 🔁
↦ D. Vega
76′
T. Børven 🔁
↦ A. Karadas
79′
85′
🔁 E. Knudtzon
↦ G. Martin
85′
E. Knudtzon 1–2
F. Kippe
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
6 V. Demidov D
21 R. Kristiansen D
5 J. Grønner D
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
25 D. Braaten F
18 A. Karadas F
19 D. Vega F
Bench (7)
13 E. Huseklepp
17 G. Sørensen
22 T. Børven
1 A. Horwath
9 K. Skaanes
11 S. Skålevik
16 R. Johansen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
7 Bassel Jradi M
6 I. Mathew M
26 S. Sinyan M
19 G. Martin F
23 T. Malec F
Bench (6)
5 O. Rindarøy
11 E. Knudtzon
1 H. Björnsson
14 F. Dickoh
15 E. Brenden
17 J. Kolstad

Coach: R. Kristinsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.