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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Mainz

U S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Darmstadt

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

4 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 11. · Darmstadt 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+14	17
2	FC Koln	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Hertha	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+10	13
5	Hoffenheim	7	3	4	0	+3	13
6	RB Leipzig	6	3	3	0	+6	12
7	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	M'gladbach	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Leverkusen	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Freiburg	7	3	0	4	-3	9
11	Mainz	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Werder Bremen	7	2	1	4	-9	7
14	Wolfsburg	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Schalke 04	7	1	1	5	-4	4
17	Hamburg	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	0	1	6	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+11	10
2	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	FC Koln	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	M'gladbach	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Freiburg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Hoffenheim	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Werder Bremen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Darmstadt	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Hamburg	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Mainz	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	RB Leipzig	3	1	2	0	+4	5
4	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Hoffenheim	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Hertha	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Dortmund	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Leverkusen	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Schalke 04	4	0	1	3	-4	1
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Hamburg	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	M'gladbach	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-9	1
17	Freiburg	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	Darmstadt	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.