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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Nice

S T S T U

0–1

Full-time

Marseille

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

4,2

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

44%

89%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,2

4,1

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 14. · Marseille 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	10	0	0	+31	30
2	Lille	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Montpellier	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Marseille	9	5	1	3	+5	16
6	St Etienne	10	4	4	2	-1	16
7	Strasbourg	10	4	3	3	+4	15
8	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	-6	13
10	Angers	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Rennes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Caen	10	2	5	3	-3	11
13	Reims	10	2	5	3	-5	11
14	Nice	9	3	2	4	-6	11
15	Nimes	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Dijon	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-7	10
18	Nantes	10	2	3	5	-4	9
19	Monaco	10	1	3	6	-5	6
20	Guingamp	10	1	3	6	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+22	18
2	Lille	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Strasbourg	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Amiens	5	3	0	2	+3	9
10	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Caen	5	1	4	0	+1	7
12	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Reims	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Nantes	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Angers	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Dijon	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Nice	4	1	0	3	-7	3
19	Monaco	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Guingamp	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Montpellier	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Nice	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	Dijon	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Angers	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Lille	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Rennes	6	1	2	3	-3	5
9	Nimes	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	St Etienne	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Reims	5	1	2	2	-5	5
12	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-7	5
13	Guingamp	6	1	2	3	-7	5
14	Monaco	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Bordeaux	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Caen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-6	3
20	Amiens	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.