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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Dijon

T U T S T

1–2

Full-time

Marseille

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

23%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

61%

Both score Ø 42%

32%

52%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 12

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dijon 16. · Marseille 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	21	18	2	1	+54	56
2	Lille	23	14	4	5	+18	46
3	Lyon	23	12	7	4	+12	43
4	St Etienne	22	10	7	5	+7	37
5	Montpellier	22	9	9	4	+12	36
6	Strasbourg	22	9	8	5	+13	35
7	Marseille	23	10	4	9	+3	34
8	Reims	23	8	10	5	-1	34
9	Nice	23	9	7	7	-5	34
10	Rennes	23	9	6	8	+0	33
11	Nimes	23	8	6	9	-2	30
12	Bordeaux	22	7	7	8	-1	28
13	Angers	23	6	9	8	-3	27
14	Toulouse	23	6	8	9	-11	26
15	Nantes	22	6	6	10	-2	24
16	Dijon	22	5	5	12	-15	20
17	Caen	22	3	9	10	-11	18
18	Monaco	23	4	6	13	-18	18
19	Amiens	23	5	3	15	-20	18
20	Guingamp	22	3	5	14	-30	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	11	0	0	+37	33
2	Lille	12	8	3	1	+16	27
3	St Etienne	11	8	2	1	+13	26
4	Lyon	12	7	3	2	+10	24
5	Marseille	11	6	3	2	+11	21
6	Reims	12	5	5	2	+3	20
7	Montpellier	11	5	4	2	+9	19
8	Strasbourg	11	5	4	2	+7	19
9	Bordeaux	11	5	4	2	+4	19
10	Rennes	11	5	3	3	+3	18
11	Nice	11	5	2	4	-2	17
12	Nantes	11	4	4	3	+8	16
13	Nimes	12	4	4	4	+3	16
14	Angers	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Toulouse	11	2	5	4	-4	11
16	Dijon	10	3	2	5	-7	11
17	Caen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Amiens	11	3	1	7	-6	10
19	Monaco	12	1	4	7	-13	7
20	Guingamp	11	1	3	7	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Lyon	11	5	4	2	+2	19
3	Lille	11	6	1	4	+2	19
4	Montpellier	11	4	5	2	+3	17
5	Nice	12	4	5	3	-3	17
6	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+6	16
7	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
8	Toulouse	12	4	3	5	-7	15
9	Reims	11	3	5	3	-4	14
10	Nimes	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Marseille	12	4	1	7	-8	13
12	Angers	11	2	5	4	-3	11
13	Monaco	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	St Etienne	11	2	5	4	-6	11
15	Bordeaux	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Dijon	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Caen	11	1	5	5	-7	8
18	Nantes	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Amiens	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Guingamp	11	2	2	7	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.