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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Nimes
U U T U T
1–1
Full-time
St Etienne
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 15. · St Etienne 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 10 0 0 +31 30
2 Lille 10 7 1 2 +11 22
3 Montpellier 10 5 4 1 +7 19
4 Marseille 10 6 1 3 +6 19
5 Lyon 10 5 2 3 +4 17
6 St Etienne 10 4 4 2 -1 16
7 Strasbourg 10 4 3 3 +4 15
8 Bordeaux 10 4 2 4 +0 14
9 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 -6 13
10 Angers 10 3 3 4 -1 12
11 Rennes 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Caen 10 2 5 3 -3 11
13 Reims 10 2 5 3 -5 11
14 Nice 10 3 2 5 -7 11
15 Nimes 10 2 4 4 -5 10
16 Dijon 10 3 1 6 -5 10
17 Amiens 10 3 1 6 -7 10
18 Nantes 10 2 3 5 -4 9
19 Monaco 10 1 3 6 -5 6
20 Guingamp 10 1 3 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes St Etienne
1′
R. Cabella 0–1
M. Debuchy
Denis Bouanga 🔁
↦ S. Alakouch
29′
Half-time 0–1
62′
🔁 Y. Salibur
↦ A. Nordin
66′
🟨 Yann M'Vila
R. Alioui 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
70′
1–1 R. Alioui
U. Bozok
74′
78′
🔁 L. Diony
↦ K. Monnet-Paquet
83′
🟨 Rémy Cabella
83′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ O. Selnæs
C. Dépres 🔁
↦ U. Bozok
89′
Denis Bouanga 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Wahbi Khazri
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nimes

4-4-2
30 P. Bernardoni G
5 L. Landre D
18 T. Valls M
11 T. Savanier M
23 A. Briançon D
12 F. Maouassa D
29 S. Alakouch D
20 R. Ripart M
22 S. Thioub M
25 B. Guillaume F
19 U. Bozok F
Bench (7)
10 Denis Bouanga
7 R. Alioui
9 C. Dépres
1 B. Valette
14 A. Bobichon
15 G. Paquiez
26 F. Miguel

Coach: B. Blaquart

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
26 M. Debuchy D
28 N. Subotić D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
6 Y. M'Vila M
7 R. Cabella M
17 O. Selnæs M
18 A. Nordin M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
10 W. Khazri F
Bench (7)
19 Y. Salibur
9 L. Diony
25 A. Dioussé
3 P. Polomat
4 W. Saliba
27 R. Berič
30 J. Moulin

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.