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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Millot

Lyon

S T T S T

4–2

Full-time

Dijon

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 39%

54%

24%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

63%

52%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

32 Shots 8

13 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 9

9 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 4. · Dijon 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	26	18	5	3	+52	59
2	Nice	26	16	8	2	+22	56
3	Paris SG	25	17	4	4	+32	55
4	Lyon	24	13	1	10	+16	40
5	St Etienne	25	10	9	6	+11	39
6	Marseille	26	11	6	9	+4	39
7	Bordeaux	26	10	9	7	+1	39
8	Guingamp	26	9	7	10	-3	34
9	Toulouse	25	9	6	10	+3	33
10	Rennes	26	8	9	9	-6	33
11	Angers	26	8	6	12	-11	30
12	Nantes	25	8	6	11	-15	30
13	Metz	25	8	6	11	-20	30
14	Montpellier	25	7	8	10	-6	29
15	Lille	26	8	5	13	-8	29
16	Dijon	25	6	9	10	-3	27
17	Nancy	25	7	6	12	-15	27
18	Caen	25	7	4	14	-18	25
19	Bastia	25	5	8	12	-11	23
20	Lorient	26	6	4	16	-25	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	13	11	1	1	+36	34
2	Nice	13	10	3	0	+19	33
3	Marseille	13	9	3	1	+15	30
4	Paris SG	12	8	4	0	+22	28
5	St Etienne	13	7	5	1	+12	26
6	Toulouse	13	8	1	4	+11	25
7	Rennes	13	7	4	2	+8	25
8	Lyon	12	8	0	4	+12	24
9	Guingamp	12	7	3	2	+6	24
10	Montpellier	12	6	4	2	+10	22
11	Bordeaux	14	6	4	4	-1	22
12	Dijon	13	5	5	3	+6	20
13	Angers	13	5	5	3	+2	20
14	Caen	12	6	2	4	-4	20
15	Metz	12	5	4	3	-5	19
16	Lille	13	5	2	6	-2	17
17	Lorient	13	5	2	6	-5	17
18	Bastia	13	3	7	3	+1	16
19	Nancy	12	5	1	6	-2	16
20	Nantes	13	4	3	6	-11	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	9	0	4	+10	27
2	Monaco	13	7	4	2	+16	25
3	Nice	13	6	5	2	+3	23
4	Bordeaux	12	4	5	3	+2	17
5	Lyon	12	5	1	6	+4	16
6	Nantes	12	4	3	5	-4	15
7	St Etienne	12	3	4	5	-1	13
8	Lille	13	3	3	7	-6	12
9	Nancy	13	2	5	6	-13	11
10	Metz	13	3	2	8	-15	11
11	Guingamp	14	2	4	8	-9	10
12	Angers	13	3	1	9	-13	10
13	Marseille	13	2	3	8	-11	9
14	Toulouse	12	1	5	6	-8	8
15	Rennes	13	1	5	7	-14	8
16	Dijon	12	1	4	7	-9	7
17	Bastia	12	2	1	9	-12	7
18	Montpellier	13	1	4	8	-16	7
19	Caen	13	1	2	10	-14	5
20	Lorient	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.