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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Caen
S T U T T
0–2
Full-time
Montpellier
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
29%
26%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
35%
68%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 16. · Montpellier 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 31 23 5 3 +62 74
2 Nice 32 20 10 2 +26 70
3 Paris SG 30 21 5 4 +39 68
4 Lyon 31 17 3 11 +29 54
5 Marseille 31 13 8 10 +6 47
6 Bordeaux 31 12 10 9 +4 46
7 St Etienne 30 11 11 8 +10 44
8 Guingamp 31 11 8 12 -1 41
9 Nantes 31 11 8 12 -15 41
10 Toulouse 31 10 10 11 +0 40
11 Rennes 31 9 13 9 -5 40
12 Angers 32 11 6 15 -9 39
13 Lille 32 10 7 15 -8 37
14 Metz 30 9 8 13 -27 35
15 Montpellier 31 8 9 14 -12 33
16 Caen 31 9 5 17 -21 32
17 Dijon 31 6 11 14 -9 29
18 Nancy 31 7 7 17 -20 28
19 Lorient 31 8 4 19 -28 28
20 Bastia 31 5 10 16 -21 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Montpellier
Frédéric Guilbert 🟨
13′
Half-time 0–1
49′
S. Sessègnon 0–1
R. Boudebouz
Ivan Santini 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Daniel Congré
56′
🟨 Ryad Boudebouz
72′
🔁 Y. Sylla
↦ J. Roussillon
Alaeddine Yahia 🟨
77′
Rémy Vercoutre 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Jonathan Ikoné
J. Tell 🔁
↦ J. Adéoti
79′
79′
🔁 P. Lasne
↦ R. Boudebouz
84′
🔁 J. Ikone
↦ I. Mbenza
P. Sané 🔁
↦ R. Rodelin
88′
88′
J. Ikone 0–2
P. Lasne
N. Seube 🔁
↦ F. Guilbert
91′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Caen

3-4-3
1 R. Vercoutre G
29 R. Genevois D
13 S. Ben Youssef D
24 F. Guilbert D
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
6 J. Delaplace M
18 J. Adéoti M
12 R. Rodelin F
26 I. Santini F
7 Y. Karamoh F
Bench (7)
32 J. Tell
22 P. Sané
2 N. Seube
4 I. Diomandé
5 A. Yahia
21 C. Alhadhur
40 M. Dreyer

Coach: P. Garande

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 L. Pionnier G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
24 J. Roussillon D
12 L. Pokorný D
23 N. Mukiele D
28 S. Sessègnon M
10 R. Boudebouz M
13 E. Skhiri M
15 S. Mounié F
18 I. Mbenza M
Bench (7)
5 Y. Sylla
7 P. Lasne
11 J. Ikone
40 D. Bertaud
19 S. Camara
20 K. Dolly
25 M. Deplagne

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.