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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Bastien

Marseille

U S S U S

3–0

Full-time

Dijon

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
9	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.