Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nancy
Rennes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | +62 | 74 |
| 2 |
Nice
|
32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | +26 | 70 |
| 3 |
Paris SG
|
30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | +39 | 68 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | +29 | 54 |
| 5 |
Marseille
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 |
Bordeaux
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +4 | 46 |
| 7 |
St Etienne
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 44 |
| 8 |
Guingamp
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 41 |
| 9 |
Nantes
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 41 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | +0 | 40 |
| 11 |
Rennes
|
31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 39 |
| 13 |
Lille
|
32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 |
Metz
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -27 | 35 |
| 15 |
Montpellier
|
31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | -12 | 33 |
| 16 |
Caen
|
31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 32 |
| 17 |
Dijon
|
31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 |
Nancy
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -20 | 28 |
| 19 |
Lorient
|
31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | -28 | 28 |
| 20 |
Bastia
|
31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -21 | 25 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: P. Correa
B. André
M
Coach: C. Gourcuff
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Guingamp
Nancy
Nancy
Lorient
Nancy
Lille
Paris SG
Nancy
Nancy
Toulouse
Brisard Jerome · 32 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.