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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Atalanta

U S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Roma

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

0,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,8

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 63%

58%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,4

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

21 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 6. · Roma 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	11	0	2	+19	33
2	Roma	12	8	2	2	+17	26
3	Milan	12	8	1	3	+4	25
4	Napoli	13	7	3	3	+9	24
5	Lazio	12	6	4	2	+10	22
6	Atalanta	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Torino	12	5	4	3	+11	19
8	Chievo	13	5	3	5	-1	18
9	Sampdoria	13	5	3	5	-3	18
10	Fiorentina	11	4	5	2	+3	17
11	Inter	12	5	2	5	+2	17
12	Genoa	11	4	4	3	+2	16
13	Cagliari	13	5	1	7	-10	16
14	Udinese	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Bologna	12	3	4	5	-7	13
16	Sassuolo	13	4	1	8	-9	13
17	Empoli	12	2	4	6	-7	10
18	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-14	7
19	Palermo	12	1	3	8	-14	6
20	Crotone	12	1	2	9	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Roma	6	6	0	0	+16	18
3	Milan	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Torino	6	4	2	0	+11	14
5	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Napoli	6	4	1	1	+6	13
7	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Sampdoria	6	4	1	1	+3	13
9	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
10	Inter	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Chievo	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Genoa	6	2	4	0	+5	10
13	Bologna	6	3	1	2	+2	10
14	Fiorentina	6	2	4	0	+2	10
15	Sassuolo	6	3	0	3	-4	9
16	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Crotone	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Pescara	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Palermo	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	4	0	2	+4	12
2	Napoli	7	3	2	2	+3	11
3	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+2	10
4	Milan	6	3	1	2	-1	10
5	Lazio	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Roma	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Chievo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Inter	6	2	0	4	-2	6
11	Palermo	6	1	3	2	-3	6
12	Genoa	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Torino	6	1	2	3	+0	5
14	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Sampdoria	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Sassuolo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	Pescara	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Bologna	6	0	3	3	-9	3
19	Cagliari	7	1	0	6	-14	3
20	Crotone	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.