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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Palermo

U T T U T

0–1

Full-time

Napoli

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 45%

25%

64%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

57%

Both score Ø 52%

46%

57%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

24% Possession 76%

5 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 9

3 Offside 7

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 17. · Napoli 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	21	4	4	+36	67
2	Napoli	28	18	7	3	+35	61
3	Roma	29	17	8	4	+31	59
4	Fiorentina	29	16	6	7	+18	54
5	Inter	29	16	6	7	+12	54
6	Milan	29	13	9	7	+9	48
7	Sassuolo	29	11	11	7	+4	44
8	Lazio	28	10	8	10	-2	38
9	Bologna	29	10	6	13	-3	36
10	Chievo	29	9	8	12	-6	35
11	Empoli	29	9	8	12	-8	35
12	Genoa	29	9	7	13	-3	34
13	Torino	29	8	9	12	-2	33
14	Sampdoria	29	8	8	13	-4	32
15	Atalanta	28	7	9	12	-7	30
16	Udinese	29	8	6	15	-19	30
17	Palermo	28	7	6	15	-22	27
18	Frosinone	29	7	5	17	-26	26
19	Carpi	29	5	10	14	-19	25
20	Verona	29	2	13	14	-24	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	11	3	0	+21	36
2	Juventus	14	11	2	1	+16	35
3	Roma	14	10	3	1	+22	33
4	Fiorentina	15	10	3	2	+17	33
5	Inter	15	10	2	3	+10	32
6	Milan	14	9	3	2	+9	30
7	Genoa	15	8	3	4	+7	27
8	Lazio	14	7	3	4	+8	24
9	Sassuolo	14	6	6	2	+3	24
10	Sampdoria	14	6	4	4	+6	22
11	Torino	15	5	6	4	+5	21
12	Frosinone	15	6	3	6	-4	21
13	Atalanta	14	5	4	5	+2	19
14	Chievo	14	4	6	4	+0	18
15	Bologna	15	4	5	6	+0	17
16	Carpi	15	4	5	6	-3	17
17	Empoli	14	4	4	6	-2	16
18	Palermo	14	4	3	7	-5	15
19	Udinese	14	4	3	7	-8	15
20	Verona	15	2	6	7	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	10	2	3	+20	32
2	Roma	15	7	5	3	+9	26
3	Napoli	14	7	4	3	+14	25
4	Inter	14	6	4	4	+2	22
5	Fiorentina	14	6	3	5	+1	21
6	Sassuolo	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Bologna	14	6	1	7	-3	19
8	Empoli	15	5	4	6	-6	19
9	Milan	15	4	6	5	+0	18
10	Chievo	15	5	2	8	-6	17
11	Udinese	15	4	3	8	-11	15
12	Lazio	14	3	5	6	-10	14
13	Torino	14	3	3	8	-7	12
14	Palermo	14	3	3	8	-17	12
15	Atalanta	14	2	5	7	-9	11
16	Sampdoria	15	2	4	9	-10	10
17	Carpi	14	1	5	8	-16	8
18	Genoa	14	1	4	9	-10	7
19	Verona	14	0	7	7	-15	7
20	Frosinone	14	1	2	11	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.