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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Sociedad
S T S U S
0–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 52%
58%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 5. · Ath Bilbao 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 18 6 2 +55 60
2 Real Madrid 25 18 5 2 +41 59
3 Sevilla 27 17 6 4 +20 57
4 Ath Madrid 27 15 7 5 +27 52
5 Sociedad 26 15 3 8 +6 48
6 Villarreal 26 12 9 5 +19 45
7 Ath Bilbao 26 12 5 9 +2 41
8 Eibar 26 11 6 9 +5 39
9 Espanol 27 10 9 8 +1 39
10 Alaves 27 9 10 8 -5 37
11 Celta 25 10 5 10 -5 35
12 Las Palmas 27 8 8 11 -2 32
13 Valencia 27 8 6 13 -11 30
14 Betis 26 7 7 12 -14 28
15 Malaga 27 6 8 13 -12 26
16 Leganes 27 6 7 14 -19 25
17 La Coruna 26 5 9 12 -12 24
18 Granada 27 4 7 16 -31 19
19 Sp Gijon 27 4 6 17 -28 18
20 Osasuna 26 1 7 18 -37 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.