La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Ath Bilbao
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +55 | 60 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +41 | 59 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +20 | 57 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +27 | 52 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 48 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +19 | 45 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 39 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Las Palmas
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -11 | 30 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Malaga
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -12 | 26 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -19 | 25 |
| 17 |
La Coruna
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 |
Granada
|
27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -31 | 19 |
| 19 |
Sp Gijon
|
27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | -37 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Betis
Sociedad
Sociedad
Eibar
Las Palmas
Sociedad
Sociedad
Villarreal
Espanol
Sociedad
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.