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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas

Girona

T S U T S

3–2

Full-time

Celta

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

33% Possession 67%

11 Shots 20

6 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Girona 15. · Celta 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Celta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Getafe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Alaves	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Betis	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Levante	4	1	1	2	+1	4
11	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Villarreal	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
16	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Valencia	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
6	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Alaves	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.