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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Ath Bilbao
T T S S S
3–1
Full-time
Betis
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
46%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
39%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Betis 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 29 24 3 2 +62 75
2 Ath Madrid 29 21 4 4 +33 67
3 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 +54 60
4 Villarreal 29 15 8 6 +12 53
5 Sevilla 29 13 9 7 +12 48
6 Celta 29 13 6 10 -10 45
7 Ath Bilbao 28 13 5 10 +8 44
8 Eibar 29 10 7 12 +0 37
9 Malaga 29 9 9 11 +0 36
10 Sociedad 29 9 8 12 -3 35
11 Valencia 29 8 10 11 -1 34
12 Betis 28 8 10 10 -10 34
13 La Coruna 29 6 15 8 -5 33
14 Espanol 28 9 4 15 -26 31
15 Las Palmas 28 8 6 14 -10 30
16 Vallecano 29 6 9 14 -22 27
17 Getafe 29 7 6 16 -24 27
18 Granada 28 7 5 16 -24 26
19 Sp Gijon 29 6 6 17 -21 24
20 Levante 29 6 6 17 -25 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -15 Betis – Ath Bilbao 1–3

Match report

Ath Bilbao Betis
Raúl García 🟨
20′
1–0 Sabin
San José
34′
2–0 Mikel Rico
44′
Half-time 2–0
49′
🟨 Rubén Castro
3–0 Sabin
50′
51′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ Petros
51′
🔁 Fabián Ruiz
↦ Jorge Molina
Aduriz 🔁
↦ Raúl García
64′
Elustondo 🔁
↦ Muniain
67′
Etxeita 🔁
↦ A. Laporte
80′
80′
🔁 Cejudo
↦ Molinero
85′
Rubén Castro 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
2 Bóveda D
4 A. Laporte D
30 Lekue D
18 Gurpegi M
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
17 Mikel Rico M
19 Muniain F
25 Sabin F
Bench (7)
20 Aduriz
3 Elustondo
16 Etxeita
7 Beñat
10 De Marcos
13 Iago Herrerín
21 Viguera

Betis

13 Adán G
2 Molinero
3 Martín Montoya D
4 Bruno González D
20 G. Pezzella D
7 Joaquín M
18 A. N'Diaye M
25 Petros M
8 C. Musonda M
24 Rubén Castro F
19 Jorge Molina F
Bench (7)
10 Dani Ceballos
52 Fabián Ruiz
16 Cejudo
1 Dani Giménez
12 Leandro Damião
14 Xavi Torres
17 H. Westermann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.