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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Celta
S T U U T
1–1
Full-time
La Coruna
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 26%
34%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
66%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
63%
54%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 12. · La Coruna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 34 26 8 0 +66 86
2 Ath Madrid 35 22 9 4 +37 75
3 Real Madrid 34 21 8 5 +45 71
4 Valencia 35 20 7 8 +26 67
5 Betis 36 18 5 13 +0 59
6 Villarreal 34 16 6 12 +8 54
7 Sevilla 35 15 6 14 -11 51
8 Getafe 35 13 10 12 +8 49
9 Girona 36 13 9 14 -9 48
10 Eibar 36 13 8 15 -7 47
11 Sociedad 36 13 7 16 +7 46
12 Celta 35 12 9 14 +3 45
13 Ath Bilbao 36 10 13 13 -5 43
14 Alaves 35 13 2 20 -14 41
15 Espanol 35 9 13 13 -12 40
16 Leganes 35 11 7 17 -14 40
17 Levante 35 9 13 13 -16 40
18 La Coruna 35 6 10 19 -35 28
19 Las Palmas 35 5 7 23 -47 22
20 Malaga 35 5 5 25 -30 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta La Coruna
6′
🟨 Luisinho
1–0 M. Gómez
13′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Valverde
↦ E. Çolak
Maximiliano Gómez 🟨
54′
Hugo Mallo 🟨
56′
56′
🟨 Fabian Schär
61′
🔁 Borja Valle
↦ Adrián
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ M. Gómez
63′
Lucas Boyé 🟨
66′
Pione Sisto 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 F. Andone
↦ M. Krohn-Dehli
P. Hernández 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
77′
F. Roncaglia 🔁
↦ D. Wass
90′
91′
Lucas Pérez 1–1
F. Andone
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Álvarez G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
18 D. Wass M
16 Jozabed M
14 S. Lobotka M
26 Brais Méndez M
11 P. Sisto M
7 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
9 L. Boyé
8 P. Hernández
24 F. Roncaglia
3 Fontàs
13 Rubén Blanco
31 D. Dražić
15 R. Mazáň

Coach: Unzué

La Coruna

4-3-1-2
13 Rubén G
16 Luisinho D
24 F. Schär D
2 Juanfran D
6 Albentosa D
14 M. Krohn-Dehli M
22 C. Borges M
20 Guilherme M
8 E. Çolak M
15 Adrián
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
17 F. Valverde
19 Borja Valle
10 F. Andone
18 Z. Bakkali
5 Pedro Mosquera
25 M. Koval
3 Fernando Navarro

Coach: C. Seedorf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.