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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Alaves
T T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Sociedad
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,8
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
29%
100%
Both score Ø 43%
14%
71%
Average goals
1,9
4,9
Scored
0,4
2,4
Conceded
1,4
2,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
8 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 9
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 19. · Sociedad 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 +21 21
2 Real Madrid 8 5 2 1 +8 17
3 Sevilla 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Valencia 7 4 3 0 +8 15
5 Ath Madrid 7 4 3 0 +8 15
6 Betis 7 4 1 2 +3 13
7 Leganes 7 3 2 2 +2 11
8 Ath Bilbao 8 3 2 3 +1 11
9 Sociedad 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Villarreal 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Levante 8 2 4 2 -2 10
12 Espanol 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Celta 7 2 2 3 +2 8
14 Getafe 8 2 2 4 +1 8
15 La Coruna 7 2 1 4 -7 7
16 Girona 7 1 3 3 -5 6
17 Las Palmas 7 2 0 5 -8 6
18 Eibar 7 2 0 5 -14 6
19 Alaves 7 1 0 6 -7 3
20 Malaga 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Sociedad
44′
🟨 Diego Llorente
Half-time 0–0
Carlos Vigaray 🔁
↦ Ibai Gómez
64′
A. Katai 🔁
↦ Álvaro Medrán
64′
67′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ Juanmi
77′
Mikel Oyarzabal 0–1
Álvaro Odriozola
Bojan 🔁
↦ D. Torres
81′
81′
Aritz Elustondo 0–2
Xabi Prieto
88′
🔁 Canales
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Rubén Duarte 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Alaves

4-5-1
1 Fernando Pacheco G
4 Alexis D
12 Rodrigo Ely D
6 G. Maripán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
19 Manu García M
16 D. Torres M
11 Ibai Gómez M
23 Álvaro Medrán M
17 Alfonso Pedraza M
24 Munir F
Bench (7)
2 Carlos Vigaray
8 A. Katai
15 Bojan
9 C. Santos
13 Antonio Sivera
18 Tomás Pina
22 M. Wakaso

Coach: G. De Biasi

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
20 Kévin Rodrigues D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
15 Aritz Elustondo D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
8 A. Januzaj
16 Canales
13 Toño
14 Rubén Pardo
21 Jon Bautista
22 Raúl Navas
24 De La Bella

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.