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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Roma
T S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Napoli
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
2,3
3,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+3,0
This season — Serie A · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
57%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
2,3
3,6
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Napoli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 7 7 0 0 +20 21
2 Juventus 8 6 1 1 +14 19
3 Lazio 8 6 1 1 +11 19
4 Inter 7 6 1 0 +11 19
5 Roma 6 5 0 1 +10 15
6 Torino 7 3 3 1 +1 12
7 Milan 7 4 0 3 +0 12
8 Chievo 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Sampdoria 6 3 2 1 +0 11
10 Bologna 7 3 2 2 -1 11
11 Atalanta 7 2 3 2 +2 9
12 Fiorentina 7 2 1 4 +0 7
13 Udinese 7 2 0 5 -1 6
14 Cagliari 7 2 0 5 -7 6
15 Spal 7 1 2 4 -6 5
16 Crotone 7 1 2 4 -8 5
17 Sassuolo 7 1 1 5 -11 4
18 Verona 7 0 3 4 -13 3
19 Genoa 7 0 2 5 -6 2
20 Benevento 7 0 0 7 -16 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.