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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoit Millot
Caen
S S T S S
0–2
Full-time
Angers
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
63%
13%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
13%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
13%
75%
Average goals
1,4
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
22 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 6. · Angers 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 8 1 0 +23 25
2 Monaco 9 6 1 2 +12 19
3 Lyon 9 4 4 1 +5 16
4 Marseille 8 5 1 2 +3 16
5 Nantes 8 5 1 2 +1 16
6 Caen 8 5 0 3 +3 15
7 Bordeaux 8 4 3 1 +2 15
8 St Etienne 8 4 2 2 +2 14
9 Troyes 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Nice 8 3 1 4 +0 10
11 Guingamp 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Angers 8 1 6 1 +1 9
13 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Toulouse 8 2 2 4 -6 8
15 Rennes 8 1 3 4 -2 6
16 Amiens 7 2 0 5 -6 6
17 Dijon 9 1 3 5 -8 6
18 Lille 7 1 2 4 -7 5
19 Strasbourg 8 1 2 5 -8 5
20 Metz 8 1 0 7 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Angers
14′
🟨 Mehdi Tahrat
32′
🟨 Flavien Tait
Half-time 0–1
49′
K. Toko Ekambi 0–1
I. Traoré
54′
🔁 A. Fulgini
↦ F. Tait
C. Kouakou 🔁
↦ J. Nkololo
56′
S. Peeters 🔁
↦ J. Repas
56′
58′
🟨 Karl Toko Ekambi
59′
A. Fulgini 0–2
K. Toko Ekambi
Stef Peeters 🟨
60′
75′
🟨 Angelo Fulgini
80′
🔁 B. Guillaume
↦ E. Crivelli
J. Delaplace 🔁
↦ Y. Aït Bennasser
82′
92′
🔁 L. Coulibaly
↦ P. Capelle
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 R. Vercoutre G
28 D. Da Silva D
29 R. Genevois D
21 F. Guilbert D
22 A. Mbengue D
25 J. Féret M
17 J. Nkololo M
9 J. Repas M
10 Y. Aït Bennasser M
12 R. Rodelin F
20 H. Bazile F
Bench (7)
13 C. Kouakou
8 S. Peeters
6 J. Delaplace
5 B. Sankoh
30 B. Samba
32 J. Deminguet
11 V. Bessat

Coach: P. Garande

Angers

4-4-2
1 M. Michel G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
26 M. Tahrat D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
20 F. Tait M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
9 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
23 A. Fulgini
19 B. Guillaume
12 L. Coulibaly
10 G. Sunu
25 A. Bamba
17 S. Ciss
40 A. Mandrea

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benoit Millot · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.